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Probability Theory
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Triple Trio bonanza awaits fearless few

Robin Parke

IT wasn't won on Wednesday night and a fortune awaits a few next week, but there's another golden chance for late-season riches with the Triple Trio at Sha Tin tomorrow.

This time there are open races involved in all three legs and a testing time again awaits those enamoured with this tantalising bet.

It is also safe to say that the winning dividend tomorrow will be big - almost certainly very big.

The first leg is a Class Four event over 1,900 metres which, at this late stage of the season, can usually sort them out.

Trainer David Oughton's Face The Odds makes some appeal while Spirits Bay and the lightly weighted Magician are not out of it, either.

At least in this leg there are a number who seem to have no real chance of making the frame so the odds are cut down.

The second leg is also a distance event, this time for Classes Two and Three over 2,000 metres and it could pay to stick with the in-form duo - trainer John Moore and leading jockey Tony Cruz.

They are involved with handy youngster Joint Account who opened his account some time ago and may not yet have reached his limit.

He is ideally drawn for Cruz to be just off the pace and the red-hot favourite for championship honours has never ridden better.

The unlucky horse in the race is undoubtedly Oughton's Assegai who has come within millimetres of winning two races under Mick Kinane.

New Zealand ace Greg Childs takes over tomorrow and at this trip and on his form, Assegai must be a top chance. He cannot be left out.

Golden Heart won on his debut to suggest he was really going to hit the heights. He was supplemented for the Derby, but did not get a run. The Stephen S. L. Leung-trained stayer does appear to be in good heart and is a chance for Lance O'Sullivan.

Of the Class Three horses involved in the combined handicap, Manley's Star makes most appeal.

It may be worthwhile supporting Moore's Canadian Champ in a banker role in the final leg which is for Class Three horses over a mile.

He had absolutely every chance of winning last time out under Childs, but was a bit one-paced in the finish.

Canadian Champ is not dripping with class, but he should be good enough - again at this late stage of the season when Moore is always dangerous - to reach the frame.

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