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Strong foreign investment bolsters currency

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Wang Xiangwei

The yuan hit a year-high 8.307 against the globally strong US dollar yesterday, and is expected to maintain its buoyancy throughout the rest of the year, according to economists.

The intra-day high on the interbank foreign exchange market was up from Monday's 8.3086.

'All the economic fundamentals point to a strong yuan, and the downside risk is getting smaller given the strong inflow of foreign investment and a improving external trade performance,' Natwest Markets senior China economist Charles Li said.

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But Mr Li added, given the fact China's economy was not fully driven by market forces, the risk of a devaluation could not be ruled out for policy or political reasons.

He said the yuan had benefitted from US$19.8 billion of foreign direct investment in the first half.

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Foreign trade also improved, swinging to a small surplus in the first half from a deficit in the first quarter.

China's foreign exchange reserves stood at $86.6 billion at the end of June, up from $73.6 billion at the end of 1995.

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