Gain plenty with Munro
Super Gain is handicapped to win the sixth event at tonight's final Happy Valley meeting of the season.
The Francis Lui-trained six-year-old had been in the doldrums for some time prior to his last start effort when he made Be My Heart fight all the way to the line over 1,800 metres at Sha Tin.
That highly creditable performance came in a competitive event and Super Gain has a number of things going for him this evening.
First and foremost he appeals as extremely well handicapped, now that he's shown signs of a resurgence.
Last season, for instance, he won from a handicap rating of 52 in Class Three, when the now suspended Tony P. H. Chan held the licence, before chasing home Victory Bomb from a rating of 59.
Tonight, he competes from a lowly 43 and that alone is enough to make him a very attractive betting proposition given his much better recent run.
But on top of that he is racing from a light weight of 120 pounds, which should suit as he's only a small horse and is probably best served by racing at the bottom end of the weight scale. That is certainly the view held by his connections.
At the time of writing, the rain was bucketing down raising the prospect of a rain-affected track. And Super Gain can handle the wet.
Star English rider, Alan Munro, takes the ride and he's another plus factor. Munro is riding out of his skin at present, conjuring wins from horses that looked to have only ordinary form chances, and it is always a good policy to follow the jockeys in form.
The one negative is that Super Gain gets back in the run and the race pattern at the Valley has been favouring those on the speed.
The pattern, though, is not insurmountable as Mabrouk showed last week so, hopefully, the combination of factors in Super Gain's favour will help him to overcome the likely track bias and come through to run down the likes of Fruitful Trip, who is rated the main danger.
Fruitful Trip is a course-and-distance winner at the Valley's 1,800 metres and should be spot on following an encouraging effort in a 1,400-metre event after a short spell.
The Lawrie Fownes-trained three-year-old has been working well and is one who should most definitely be favoured by the probable front-running bias as he looks to be the natural leader in this event.
Bill is improving and should not be underestimated. Paddy Payne is a significant booking by trainer Lam Hung-fie who, is bidding for a rare but by no means impossible hat-trick with Bill.