Steam in to Fownes' Trishul
Stick with the in-form team of long-serving trainer Lawrie Fownes and his stable jockey Wendyll Woods at this evening's Happy Valley meeting.
Fownes and Woods were in cracking form with a double at Sha Tin on Saturday, scoring with Dolbridge and Brilliant Way.
Tonight they are strongly fancied to win with their lightly raced, progressive sort, Trishul.
The son of Brief Truce contests a modest third event and he should be suited by the move up in distance to a mile.
He showed distinct promise on two starts as a griffin and had been working with plenty of zest prior to his somewhat belated seasonal reappearance in which he was noted keeping on well to be third to David Hayes' impressive debut winner My Specialist.
Trishul only narrowly failed to tip the in-form No Competitor out of the quinella spot and he looks to be open to more improvement than any of his 12 rivals.
He appears to have gone on with it in his trackwork since that third to My Specialist over the Happy Valley 1,200 metres.
That run showed he can handle the Valley's idiosyncratic twists and turns and he should progress naturally for the extra 450 metres.
What's more, Fownes looks to have found Trishul the perfect opportunity as Class Four events don't come much less competitive than this one.
They can often be packed full of dangers but tonight's race looks to primarily concern Trishul and the Tony Cruz-trained Quick Commander.
Last time out, Quick Commander put in his best effort to date when 1.5 lengths second to the Alex Wong Siu-tan-trained Harmony Prince whom he now meets on nine pounds better terms and is confidently expected to reverse the form.
Quick Commander is almost certainly best ridden up on the speed. It would appear to suit his temperament.
But this was a race run at a solid tempo throughout with others who also wanted to be up there such as Perfect Sport and Honest Dragon who both dropped right away.
In the circumstances it was a good effort from Quick Commander to battle on and hold down the quinella spot. The way the race was run set it up for something to come from off the speed and that something was Harmony Prince who has been beaten, though not disgraced, since. Quick Commander should have a much easier time of things tonight and could get a good trail into the race behind the likely leader Just My Way who is a risk at the mile.
Given the weight reversal, and given the way tonight's race may well be run compared to how Quick Commander's last race developed, he is confidently expected to reverse the form with Harmony Prince and looks the biggest danger to Trishul.
Elsewhere on the programme, the opening event should go to one of the newcomers, Flamenco Star or Floral Joy.
Flamenco Star may be the one most worth a win bet though it could well be possible to have a main win bet on one of them, save on the other and take a single quinella.
They have both shaped with plenty of promise and have struck a very weak race.