Lui's New recruit can pin TT hopes

PUBLISHED : Friday, 05 February, 1999, 12:00am
UPDATED : Friday, 05 February, 1999, 12:00am

New Triple Trio. New Asians. New life.

That could well be the scenario if the Francis Lui-trained youngster anchors bets in the sixth event which concludes tomorrow's TT.

There's a bank of $27.4 million carried forward and given the influx of recent money into the TT, itself reminiscent of the way the general public have flocked to lottery betting during times of depression elsewhere in the world, lucky winners could well have their lives changed forever.

The pool could hit $60 million, perhaps even getting as high as $80 or $90 million, and New Asians does look to have an outstanding chance.

He ran on well at debut and had he been more experienced he might well have won. His work prior to that had been good and his work since has given further cause for encouragement.

The mile looks a good trip for him at this stage and he should be running home strongly into the placings.

Watch out for an improved effort from the Bruce Hutchison-trained Dancing Surpass.

It is unfortunate for English rider Alan Munro that he misses the ride, as he is claimed for retaining trainer David Oughton's Braveheart.

Munro rode Dancing Surpass on his debut at Happy Valley and has put him through some much-improved work since.

Hutchison hasn't messed around in Munro's absence. He's gone for as good as you can get and booked the six-time champion Basil Marcus, which tends to suggest the white-haired mentor means business.

Sure Win King has fallen plenty since those heady days as a leading Derby contender under Walter Swinburn. His most recent outing, and his first under the inspirational Kieren Fallon, indicated he retained enough of his former ability to prevail in Class Four.

He merits TT consideration, especially with the Fallon factor once more in his favour.

Bold Dancer ran well enough last weekend, Take Off was possibly flattered by his recent placing but can't be dismissed from TT calculations while Smooth Edge trialled well recently and is a good outsider.

Munro could hold the key to the third event, which opens the TT. He rides the improving stayer Supreme Warrior for Oughton and the way he has worked since his emphatic last-start victory, he could well improve enough to see off tomorrow's Class Four opposition.

Supreme Warrior has always looked a nice individual but he was never right last season when with Alex Wong Siu-tan, as was typical of the stable in general.

This campaign he's thrived, again like so many of the horses who remained with Wong, who has been enjoying a vintage season.

Rainbow Seeker hasn't looked as well as he does for a considerable time and is worth including.

Similarly Treasure Spring, whose first-up third was probably his best career performance.

Dynamic Tension was brought undone by the slow tempo last time and has always looked a stayer.

Romantic Venture, who might have won last time if he'd stayed straight, has since trialled without a repetition of that waywardness. He comes right into it as does in-form Cheers Up.

The fourth event, the TT's middle pin, looks a minefield despite the less than full field.

Debutant Sun Shine River will almost certainly miss the start but he's been finishing off his work and trials and jumps out so well that it would be hard to leave him out of the TT.

William's Surpass should have finished a lot closer at the Valley last time and now has Gerald Mosse replacing 10-pound claimer Eric Lee, who found plenty of trouble at the city venue.

A-Gain Easy has been working extremely well and could certainly place as could The Best Winner, who did well to make up so much ground last time.

Happy Forever, racing fresh and with seven-pound claimer Willy Kan so devastating when she gets to the front, has to be considered.