Rebel set to be leader of pack
Rebel Leader gets his chance to show what he's made of at Sha Tin tomorrow in the sixth event, which concludes the Triple Trio.
What he's made of should be more than good enough to justify banker status. The Geoff Lane-trained four-year-old was having his first run back from a gelding operation over the Valley mile last time and that was never going to be his course as he's much more of a galloping, grinding type. It was his first attempt at the Valley and it is also quite natural to assume he would have needed his run back from the snip.
Prior to that he had shaped nicely at Sha Tin and now he's back to the Sha Tin mile, with that recent run under his belt, he can run on strongly in the closing stages and into the tierce. Even a mile could be a bit on the short side for him as his true potential may come out over 1,800 metres or farther. But he hasn't struck a particularly strong race and should be finishing all over the top of them under Steven King.
Frat Rat's form looks pretty solid following last week's win from Namjong Spirit, who had previously run third to Puccini and him. The way Frat Rat has been sticking on over 1,400 metres indicates he should have no trouble at tomorrow's mile and he should also appreciate racing off the light weight.
Greenmore had no luck last time and looks the other main form contender followed by Top Light and Good Man, who ran most promisingly on debut.
This sixth event looks by far the easiest of the three legs to solve and is strongly recommended as the one to go thin in. Perhaps it could even be worth taking two out of Rebel Leader, Frat Rat and Greenmore as double bankers. Ater all, it is only like trying to get a quinella place.
First impressions for the third event, which opens the TT, are that Po On Power and Speed At Will are the two on whom to focus. Po On Power, in particular, had no luck last time when ridden too far back in his field and then hampered when making good late headway. He had previously won well in the wet at Happy Valley but is equally at home on the dirt.
Speed At Will didn't get things to suit last time either. He seems to be working better than ever and the booking of John Egan for trainer Andy Leung Ting-wah takes the eye. Egan has a good record on the dirt and could well have Speed At Will a bit handier in the run then when he flashed home to catch Hossegor, who has franked the form by winning and placing since.
Lyphard's Lad seems back to himself. Forget his last run when he nearly came down in the first bend. He is another of the main chances and watch out for a much-improved run at a big price from Danzig Continental. He's had excuses all season and, as he has shown a liking for a wet track, he could well take to the dirt.
Bankers are hard to come by in the fourth event, the TT's middle leg and a Class Four 2,000-metre handicap. Dancing Surpass looked unlucky last time when blocked for a run inside the last 200 metres. It might have cost him the race, so he looks as good a chance as any.
Fat Choy Together put in a much better run on the dirt last time when he might have been placed but for being checked and has now slipped to a decent mark.
Metro Traveller has been racing well, while the likes of Aqua Prince, Iron Tycoon and Nature's Treasure all stay well, as does Invincible General.
Dragon Fortune has been crying out for this trip and, while his form has been on the dirt, he may very well act on the grass. Elegance is a thorough stayer who found the slow pace against him last time. He could be the surprise package.