High accuracy rating for weathermen

PUBLISHED : Monday, 01 July, 2002, 12:00am
UPDATED : Monday, 01 July, 2002, 12:00am

I refer to the letter by Louis Wong (South China Morning Post, June 15) regarding the five-day forecasts issued by the Hong Kong Observatory.

The five-day forecast aims to indicate the general trend of the weather to help people plan a few days ahead.

As Mr Wong has rightly pointed out, weather forecasting is still an inexact science. We recognise that weather forecasts cannot be 100 per cent accurate.

The Observatory, therefore, expends a lot of effort on research with a view to further improving forecast accuracy. The latest survey conducted by an independent company showed that the public gave us an accuracy rating of 78 per cent, a gradual but steady increase from 74 per cent 10 years ago.

Moreover, in the past decade some 70 per cent of the public have consistently considered that the accuracy of our forecasts is improving.

We appreciate that we have yet to meet the high expectations of our very demanding public.

We shall strive to edge ever closer to this goal.


for Director of the Hong Kong Observatory