Dirt track will suit Fortune Collect
FORTUNE COLLECT (Nap) can bounce back to form in tonight's second event on the Happy Valley equitrack.
The dirt meetings of late have returned to their pattern of old with a premium on speed.
Fortune Collect has more speed than most Class Six performers and should go very close to making all the running under crack apprentice Francis K S Lam, despite being drawn eight of the eight runners for this 1,400-metre event.
The five-year-old failed behind Blue Baron in a better Class Six event over a mile on the equitrack last time out and on that form has something to find with Specially For Us.
But it is probably best to overlook that bad run from Fortune Collect who has been noted doing plenty of work since, especially on the inside track and will come into tonight's race appreciably fitter.
He will also benefit from the drop back in distance from a mile to 1,400 metres. He contested the lead with Blue Baron for a long way last time out and basically failed to see out the mile.
Last season, though, he was a good winner over course and distance against better company than he is facing this evening.
His latest work, plus an earlier 2 3/4 lengths third to Love Of Freedom in Class Five, suggest he is more than capable of returning to his winning ways.
The biggest danger could well come from Specially For Us as he is another with some natural speed, though he has been finding it difficult to finish off his races.
Besides finishing in front of Fortune Collect in the race won by Blue Baron, Specially For Us did show decent pace for a long way in the Class Six event won by Superior Dragon over 1,400 metres on the Sha Tin grass recently.
But it has to be doubted as to whether Specially For Us will be able to lead Fortune Collect and that is why Fortune Collect is favoured for the winner's berth.
Money Spinner, with never-say-die Basil Marcus on board, could run the tierce.
This is a horse who habitually misses the start but the balance of his form reads a lot better than most of the others in what is a good betting race as there appear to be so very few chances.
Flying Dragon won a modest 1,030-metre event last time and could prove best of the others.
Lucky Smile is probably better over farther and back at Sha Tin.
Ro Ro Delight is hopeless, Mighty General appears to have lost his form completely and Calibogue has been racing most ungenuinely of late.
Tiger's Spirit (Next Best) will be very hard to peg back in the night's third event and, like Fortune Collect, appeals as betting material.
Tiger's Spirit is starting for the first time on equitrack tonight. For most of his career in Hong Kong, he has been up in Class One and therefore he has not been eligible for a sprint on the dirt.
But he's one of the fastest horses out of the gates in the territory and it will be a major surprise if he isn't able to lead his field.
The biggest danger may come from veteran sprinter Morning Patrol who has put in some fine efforts and should be out running second to Tiger's Spirit.
The pattern of these minimum sprint affairs is often that the first two in running end up that way on the line.
Tiger's Spirit and Morning Patrol not only look to have the most speed they also look to have the best form and are worth a quinella wager.
Ivan Allan's Our Champion was noted running on well over an inadequate 1,030 metres last time and should go close to winning the night's final event now that he is stepped up to a mile and is blinkered for the first time.