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Why you can trust SCMP
Nick Pulford

The FA Cup has its big launch this weekend, when the teams from England's top two divisions enter the competition at the third round, and one of the key talking points is whether the threat to the dominance of the big-four clubs will spill over from the Premier League.

Tottenham, Manchester City and Aston Villa are making life uncomfortable for the big four in the Premier League, and the betting suggests the elites' stranglehold on the FA Cup also faces a stronger challenge this year.

The big four - Manchester United, Arsenal, Chelsea and Liverpool - are the top four in betting on the FA Cup winners, but the emerging powers of Tottenham and Manchester City are closer than usual to the big four, which is a reflection that this year's competition is expected to be more open than usual.

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The FA Cup, like the Premier League, has become virtually the exclusive property of the big four in the past two decades.

In the 21 years since Wimbledon's Crazy Gang upset Liverpool in the 1988 final, only three clubs - Tottenham, Everton and Portsmouth - have managed to stop one of the big four from lifting the trophy. In that period, United and Arsenal have had five wins apiece and Chelsea, the holders, and Liverpool have had four each.

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No wonder, then, the big four dominate betting on this year's showpiece. Chelsea are 4.0 favourites, with United 5.0, Liverpool 6.0 and Arsenal 7.0. But Tottenham at 11.0 and Manchester City at 12.0 are given a bigger chance and so, too, are Aston Villa, who are available at 18.0, along with last year's beaten finalists Everton.

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