-
Advertisement

Judge's faulty logic makes us quake

Reading Time:1 minute
Why you can trust SCMP

It's a pretty stunning charge: scientists face trial for manslaughter because they failed to predict a deadly earthquake. This is not fiction.

In Italy, a judge has thrown the book at some of the country's top seismologists for not warning of the 6.3-magnitude earthquake that struck the medieval city of L'Aquila in 2009, leaving 308 people dead.

The accused are members of the national government's great risks commission, which is supposed to evaluate the potential for natural disasters.

Advertisement

Defence lawyers have strongly condemned the charge, saying earthquakes are impossible to predict - an argument with which seismologists have long concurred.

Let's consider the implications of this charge. It will kill the profession of seismology in Italy.

Advertisement

Bring back clairvoyance and guessing, we say. The advantages are obvious. You don't need to know maths, physics or geology. You don't even have to use a computer.

Advertisement
Select Voice
Select Speed
1.00x