Will the real Lucky Record turn up?
Lucky Record left his fans with losing tickets and bad memories at his last start at Happy Valley, but Douglas Whyte should get the four-year-old to turn that around at the same venue tonight in the Hong Kong Art Festival 40th Anniversary Cup (1,200m).
Lucky Record has been a serious blend of the good and the very bad since his move to Tony Millard four runs back, producing his only two race victories but also finishing 10th and seventh as a warm favourite the other occasions.
If his pattern of first, 10th, first, seventh means anything, then the good version of Lucky Record is due to front up tonight and that version will be too good for a modest Class Three field.
The gelding has been impressive in his victories, on the pace first up for Brett Prebble in October and then again for Brett Doyle, coming from last in January. In defeat he has had excuses, however painful for his followers.
Vet issues helped account for his 10th in November and at his last start Lucky Record simply refused to relax in running, which has been an issue at different times in his relatively short career.
Whyte would probably be happier if there was some solid pace to sit behind but he will have to make the best of what speed there is and hope at least for the possibility of cover from the low draw.
If Lucky Record turns up, he looks a legitimate short-odds proposition again, but a possible danger may be Touch Well (Derek Leung Ka-chun).
There has been merit in both of his runs, working forward from a wide draw first up on the dirt, then finishing a solid fourth down the straight, despite finding himself on the wrong side of the track from gate three.
This time, gate three will be a much better draw around the Valley and Touch Well will have a few more things in his favour.
Also worthy of respect is the John Size-trained Dr Super (Jeff Lloyd), who Whyte has probably rejected to take the mount on the favourite.
He is a three-year-old with some upside, even though coming back in trip.