Moment of truth for Size's Fay Fay

The John Size-trained Fay Fay has let his supporters down twice lately at short odds in his lead-ups to the HK$16 million Mercedes-Benz Hong Kong Derby, but he is capable of overcoming an outside draw to put on a reversal to win today.

Taken at face value, Fay Fay (Douglas Whyte) has some to find to mix it in the finish of this event with Sweet Orange (Weichong Marwing), but a change in tempo from the muddling-run Classic Mile and Classic Cup could bring a change of form from the son of Falkirk.

Even progressing through the grades earlier this season, Fay Fay was unimpressive in two defeats of Dragon Fighter when the pace was slow or stop-start.

When he had a proper tempo, though, first-up in October over 1,400m and three starts ago winning a Class Two over 1,600m, Fay Fay looked the real deal.

The second of those wins was enough for fans to send him out as a 1.5 favourite in the Classic Mile, but Fay Fay was subdued by the terribly slow pace and unable to sprint past Sweet Orange.

Then in the Classic Cup at 1,800m, Fay Fay was again presumed the best horse in the race and sent out favourite. This time the race began quickly enough but slowed up sharply during the middle stages, and Fay Fay overraced, getting on the heels of horses in front of him and having to be checked twice in running. While he made ground steadily in the run down the straight, Fay Fay wasn't in any shape to produce his best finish by then.

Key to his chance is the prospect of a totally different tempo as well as the longer distance.