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Analysis | Here’s why China is flooded with AAA-rated bonds: confusion and rivalry among regulators

A fragmented and confusing bond market, where four regulators compete with each other, has created a mess that’s keeping foreign investors away.

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According to Bloomberg, 70 per cent of Chinese bonds are rated AA or above, and a staggering 60 per cent have been awarded the highest possible AAA classification. Photo: AFP
Xie Yu

There are several reasons foreign investors are afraid of putting their money into China’s massive debt market. One of the biggest is a suspicion of the country’s rating agencies who seem to undermine their own credibility by giving just about every bond the highest classification.

It may seem baffling. So why do they do it?

According to some of the nation’s top economic analysts and bond market players, it is the fault of the organisations that oversee the industry.

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“A lot of people blame China’s rating agencies for adopting loose standards when evaluating the bond issuers. But they do not understand, it is not our fault – it’s the regulators,” said Mao Zhenhua, founder and chief economist of China Chengxin International Credit Rating, one of China’s four biggest rating agencies, on Sunday in Beijing.

So far, of the 1,500 bonds of publicly traded companies covered by these top four agencies, 70 per cent are rated AA or above, and a staggering 900 of them have been awarded the highest possible AAA, according to Bloomberg.

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‘It’s not our fault’ – Mao Zhenhua of China Chengxin International says blame the regulators, not the credit ratings agencies. Photo: SCMP Handout
‘It’s not our fault’ – Mao Zhenhua of China Chengxin International says blame the regulators, not the credit ratings agencies. Photo: SCMP Handout
That makes international investors, who are used to a US dominated rating scale running from a high of AAA to a low of C – with a series of notches in between – suspicious about China’s bond market.
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