• Thu
  • Oct 23, 2014
  • Updated: 10:31am
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ENERGY

China leading world in renewable energy investments

PUBLISHED : Friday, 29 August, 2014, 1:14am
UPDATED : Friday, 29 August, 2014, 1:14am

China will lead the world in renewable energy investments in the years to 2020 but slow progress of commercial projects and red tape threaten to curb spending growth.

Investment in new renewable power capacity is seen averaging at more than US$230 billion annually worldwide in the run-up to 2020, compared with US$250 billion last year, according to the International Energy Agency's annual medium-term renewable energy market report released yesterday.

The report links the decline to expectations of unit investment costs for some technologies as well as a likely slowdown in global capacity growth.

Expansion of renewables such as wind, solar and hydro projects will slow down unless policy uncertainty is diminished, the report says. The policy uncertainties stem mainly from concerns about costs of deploying renewables, according to the IEA.

Policy and regulatory uncertainty is rising in some key markets
MARIA VAN DER HOEVEN, IEA

"Just when renewables are becoming a cost-competitive option in an increasing number of cases, policy and regulatory uncertainty is rising in some key markets," said IEA executive director Maria van der Hoeven.

However, China's policy on renewables had been clear and the government's support strong, said Louis Sun, a Shanghai-based analyst at Bocom International.

"Beijing is firmly supporting new energy development," Sun said. "One of the main reasons, especially in northern China, is to fight pollution."

The share of renewables in the country's total power generation was bound to increase in the long term, he said. "In the short term, I also see no economic pressure to slow down investment - the government has promised subsidy to renewables until 2020."

According to the National Energy Administration, China's power consumption grew about 5.5 per cent in the first quarter amid an economic slowdown. Last year, the country's power demand grew 8.2 per cent.

China and other non-member countries of the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development account for almost 70 per cent of the world renewables growth, the IEA report shows. China alone accounts for about 56 per cent of that portion.

Renewable energy made up 22 per cent of global generation last year and is expected to rise to nearly 26 per cent by 2020, the report says.

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dunndavid
"China will lead the world in renewable energy investments in the years to 2020" This is a great example of blindly projecting current trends into the future. According to Conference Board, China's productivity growth from 2008 to present is almost negative 1%. Together with the continuing decline by 0.2% in the one time demographic bonus that China experienced from having lots of people in the working years and few children, China will soon have no money for such frivolities as "green" energy costing 4-6 times the cost of conventional sources and with it's own externalities, particularly hydroelectricity. China will have to reduce pollution much as the west did by reducing pollution from conventional, economically viable energy sources. Currently China's pollution from coal-fired power and steam generation is 3-5 times that of the west. This is the problem that needs to be addressed.
 
 
 
 
 

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