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New | Gold demand forecast to rebound in 2015

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Jewellery buying in India rose 8 per cent to a record 662 tonnes last year, largely due to strong festival and wedding-related demand in the fourth quarter. Photo: Reuters
Reuters

Gold demand hit a five-year low last year as buying of jewellery, coins and bars failed to keep pace with 2013's elevated levels, particularly in major consumer China, the World Gold Council said yesterday.

But the declining trend in demand, which has fallen every year since its 2011 peak, was likely to turn around this year, said Marcus Grubb, the council's managing director for investment.

"We expect the market to come in somewhere between 4,100 and 4,200 tonnes in [2015]," he said. "We see Indian demand rising, and I think you'll see a big improvement in China, too."

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The drop in demand last year was limited by slower liquidation of bullion-backed funds, an uptick in official-sector demand and a recovery in Indian gold jewellery buying.

World gold demand fell 4 per cent to 3,924 tonnes last year, the lowest annual total since 2009, according to council data.

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"We expect to see 400 tonnes taken off the market by the central banks this year," Grubb said. "Jewellery demand will also be a big driver in 2015, and if we see a stronger gold market, you will see an improvement in investment demand, which also means in the exchange-traded funds."
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