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Business
Cathy Holcombe

The View | Education, not politics, key to economic strength

An educated population leads to better economic strength, which in turn leads to more vocal calls for leaders to provide greater political freedoms

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Illustration: Emilio Rivera

One of the best performing stock markets this summer has been Thailand, a country that experienced a military coup in the spring. Of course, coups aren't particularly new to the Southeast Asian country but this one seemed to come as a relief.

Which is a reminder that many investors have something in common with authoritarian policymakers: they fear chaos and populist capture. In Thailand's case, Yingluck Shinawatra's clownishly inefficient rice-subsidy scheme was enough to write off her government as one of populist idiocy.

A couple of years ago the Morgan Stanley fund manager Ruchir Sharma, while researching a book on emerging markets, looked at 124 countries that had experienced high growth rates over the past three decades. He found that only about half of the countries were democracies.

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"It's not the type of system that matters but the stability and whether the leaders running it understand economic reform," Sharma said at the time.

It is against this backdrop - of democracy linked with instability in so many narratives - that Beijing perhaps felt comfortable citing the threat of "populism" while explaining its decision to limit the scope of the 2017 chief executive elections.

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Yet this charge obviously rings very hollow in a city like Hong Kong, with its high education levels and a long tradition of civic virtue - on display with the pro-democracy protestors' zeal for orderliness, food sharing and even trash recycling.

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