Chart Book is featured daily column at SCMP.com and in print in the South China Morning Post. It brings readers a combination of exclusive sentiment barometers on equity markets, practical technical analysis flagging likely moves across a range of asset classes, and smart graphics that offer insight into evolving market trends.
Chart of the day: Li Keqiang Index turns higher
The economic pulse on the mainland is clearly quickening, judging by the three metrics Premier Li Keqiang uses as his key reference points for the health and intensity of the economy – industrial production, electricity consumption and railway freight traffic. Economists at Nomura highlight the strong correlation that electricity consumption and rail freight have with industrial production at 0.64 and 0.66, respectively. The implication from industrial production’s higher-thanconsensus bounce last month is that the bottom of the cycle has definitively passed and that growth momentum is building. For Nomura, that should translate into GDP growth of 7.5 per cent in the current quarter and 7.6 per cent next.