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Opinion | Five big surprises for China in 2015

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Wang Jianlin, chairman of Wanda commercial properties, attends a ceremony during the debut of the company at the Hong Kong Stock Exchange December 23, 2014. Photo: Reuters
I think there are some very cool potential surprises on the horizon. These are my long-shot China predictions for 2015. They are not highly probable but they are definitely possible. And they would be big news if they happened. So here are my predictions for big potential China surprises in 2015.
 
# 1 - Wanda will purchase a major Hollywood studio.

Wanda is already the largest commercial developer in China. And CEO Wang Jianlin is China’s richest person, more or less. But in the last two years, they have been making large moves into entertainment and other asset-light industries. They bought AMC and are now the largest owner of movie theatres in the US and China. 

Going after a major Hollywood studio is logical. And they have been circling for a while. And keep in mind, Japanese Sony bought Columbia Pictures in a similar move in the late 1980’s. Wanda can afford it and could easily end up as one of the major players in Hollywood. Current likely candidates are Lionsgate and MGM.

 
The Fisker Karma, a plug-in hybrid luxury sports sedan produced by Fisker Automotive and manufactured at Valmet Automotive in Finland, is displayed during the Stockholm Car Festival at Kungstradgarden on September 21, 2012. Photo: AFP
The Fisker Karma, a plug-in hybrid luxury sports sedan produced by Fisker Automotive and manufactured at Valmet Automotive in Finland, is displayed during the Stockholm Car Festival at Kungstradgarden on September 21, 2012. Photo: AFP
# 2 - Wanxiang will replace Tesla and Nissan as the world’s leading electric car company.

American Tesla and Japanese Nissan lead in electric cars (not hybrids) by market share and technology. But winning in electric cars will require advanced Western technology, the US market and the China market. You can’t win without China (given its population and pollution problems). 

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But Chinese Wanxiang is advancing rapidly. While Tesla has struggled to grow in China, Wanxiang is making quick progress buying Western companies with electric car technology. In 2014, they purchased Fisker Auto out of US bankruptcy court. They previously bought battery-maker A123. 

The potential surprise here is Wanxiang rocketing up in China sales. They now have the operating platform and complete working models. They could leap-frog Tesla in sales and become the largest electric car company in China. That would likely make them the leader globally.

 
# 3 - Chinese healthcare will show stunning progress.

There is a lot of capital, expertise and government support now going into modernizing the Chinese healthcare sector. But the industry is more known for its impressive and long-standing stagnation than it’s development. 

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