• Fri
  • Aug 22, 2014
  • Updated: 2:20pm
My Take
PUBLISHED : Thursday, 06 March, 2014, 4:08am
UPDATED : Thursday, 06 March, 2014, 4:29am

Robert Chung's Hong Kong polls show pan-democrats are as unpopular as Leung Chun-ying

I have no idea if University of Hong Kong pollster Robert Chung Ting-yiu is a pan-democrat. I rather suspect that he is. But I am pretty sure Peter Lee Ka-kit, heir-apparent of Henderson Land and an adviser to Beijing, hasn't really gone through Chung's public opinion surveys before heaping criticism on the pollster for manipulating the public.

First, it's a bit rich for a guy who advises a state that controls and monitors most of the mainland media outlets to accuse someone of public opinion manipulation.

Second, it's not really Chung's polls that create and reinforce the impressions of the unpopularity of Chief Executive Leung Chun-ying and many of his principal officials, but rather the Hong Kong media's selective reporting of them. This is why you really have to look at all the polls that Chung's centre at HKU has conducted, including those on lawmakers and political parties. Let's see some numbers from those HKU polls that may surprise you.

Leung's February rating drops 1.5 points to 46.4 out of 100. That makes him pretty unpopular, right? Give or take one point for a margin of error and he has similar ratings, polled in mid-January, as pan-democrats Emily Lau Wai-hing, Lee Cheuk-yan and Albert Ho Chun-yan. Of the four top-rated lawmakers, none belongs to the pan-democratic camp: Tsang Yok-sing (59.4), Regina Ip Lau Suk-yee (52.7), Michael Tien Puk-sun (52.6) and brother James Tien Pei-chun (52.2). The banana-throwing, protest-prone Albert Chan Wai-yip, "Long Hair" Leung Kwok-hung and Wong Yuk-man range between 34 and 38.8.

The last poll for political parties, conducted in October last year, shows that not a single party rates above 50. The Civic Party, Democratic Party and the pro-Beijing Democratic Alliance for the Betterment and Progress of Hong Kong range between 45 and 47 points. The unpopularity of the League of Social Democrats (37.8) and People Power (36.3) simply tracks that of Long Hair and Chan.

But the media tends to over-report Leung's ratings while under-reporting those of lawmakers and their parties. If anything below 50 means being unpopular, a reader of Chung's polls would conclude the public is disillusioned with the government as much as with the pan-democrats and their parties.

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This article is now closed to comments

ivestlib6
Thanks. Alex. A very good argument with grounds and objective evidence.
Dai Muff
A very good argument for allowing democracy. Probably an accident.
Ant Lee
Alex Lo - Do you feel disgusted with your lame articles?
johnyuan
To Ant Lee,
.
I don't.
.
Please give support(s) to your statement. A frivorous posting if without one.
321manu
Assuming Dr. Chung's surveys used appropriate random sampling methodology, the results are quite reassuring. Extreme views have less support, and a plurality of HKers seem supportive of the performance of middle-of-the-road politicians and parties. This should put the rest the fear-mongering of the CCP apologist crowd, who like the suggest (without any substantiation) that Hkers if given full democratic rights would run the city off a cliff. They would have us believe that the extreme voices would hold sway, when in fact the majority of HKers view them unfavourably. Sometimes, you just can't beat the facts. Now we shall see if CCP apologists are capable of grasping reality.
Dai Muff
Therefore Beijing has absolutely nothing to fear from allowing full democracy.
I support full democracy, but I would NOT vote for most of the pan democrats, certainly not the most extreme, and - according to you and these polls - nor would most Hong Kongers.
Thanks for stating that case Mr Lo.
Let's see the anti-democrats explain their way out of this one.
pslhk
“the media tends to over-report X while under-reporting Y”
that’s why editors and reporters so jealously protect
their excessive and undeserved freedom of the bias
-
most though not all reporters began their biased reporting career
with unrealistic grudge or envy
towards the established meritocratic order
where they’re usually ranked near the bottom
-
an example is MP’s Emily
a page dedicated to gossips heard in central
that used to be written by a “woman”
who promoted herself syrupily as “愛美麗”
depicting central affairs from a wongtaisin angle
scmp’s mr shangkong looks like her cousin
-
there are also many veteran commentators
whose only talent is their addiction to slogans
about freedom equality democracy …
perceived in the scholarism manner
-
as these opinion pied pipers gather followers
they can’t be ignored by political leaders
thus democracy in HK becomes democrazy
maecheung
"..... but rather the Hong Kong media's selective reporting of them (the poll results)...Oh so TRUE!
artdig18
Thanks Alex ... good article
John Adams
Mr Lo : As I walk about the streets of HK and look in the faces of "Mr Average", whom I assume Robert Chung / HKU have accurately polled (no-one ever called me for a poll !) I wonder what Mr Average makes of all this "mess".
.
I can only conclude that Mr Average is pretty much p*******d off with all that is happening in government these days, starting with with our inane FS and his doom/ gloom pronouncements which are pure B ... l S ... t . ( Read Tom Holland ! )
.
Mr Average is more concerned about hopes for the future, and so am I .
.
CY has not yet had the freedom to engineer hopes for the future because his hands have been tied by un-doing 10 years of mis-management of HK.
.
To those who say "down with CY" I say " would you prefer 5 years under Henry Tang, who would only have still furthered the cause of the property cartels? "
.
One of the downside consequences of universal suffrage is that the general electorate have a very short memory span, sad to say.

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