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Opinion

In Myanmar and Thailand, two militaries moving in opposite directions

Kevin Rafferty says as the generals in Myanmar cede power in the historic handover to civilians, Thailand’s ruling junta should remember the dangers of prolonged military rule on a nation’s economy and social fabric

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Myanmar's pro-democracy icon Aung San Suu Kyi now faces the challenge of fulfilling the immense promise of a country where generations of military locusts stripped away the potential it had to be a leader of modern economic development. Photo: AP
Kevin Rafferty

Who would ever have imagined it – singing karaoke, dancing and joking. This was not some theatre vaudeville event but the closing ceremonies of the bleak, humourless, military-dominated parliament of Myanmar before yielding to a largely democratically elected new parliament.

The outgoing speaker urged his audience to join him in singing Dreams May Come True. The people of Myanmar have had to wait more than 50 years, since the military first took over in 1962, to dream of their dreams coming true. Even today, after Aung San Suu Kyi and members of her National League for Democracy have taken their seats and dominate the new parliament, the handover to civilians will take another month.

READ MORE: Historic moment – Suu Kyi’s allies form Myanmar’s ruling party after decades of struggle

What is clear is that the Myanmese and Thai militaries are moving in opposite directions. Until they both yield to civilian politicians, Asia will be performing below its potential, to the detriment of the world and especially to the people of both countries.

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Suu Kyi is the central focus of speculation about the path Myanmar will take; but she has maintained a judicious silence and enjoined her party members not to speculate. She even sat stony-faced when she was complimented as the most beautiful parliamentarian during the outgoing gig.

People take in the sunset at Naypyidaw. Myanmar entered a new political era on February 1 as Aung San Suu Kyi's party took their seats in a parliament dominated by pro-democracy MPs. Photo: AFP
People take in the sunset at Naypyidaw. Myanmar entered a new political era on February 1 as Aung San Suu Kyi's party took their seats in a parliament dominated by pro-democracy MPs. Photo: AFP
No doubt she remembers 1990 when her party also won a majority, and the military swept the results away, arrested her and her elected colleagues, and reimposed and tightened their grip on the country. She and Myanmar now face a challenge far tougher than winning an election – fulfilling the immense promise of a country where generations of military locusts gobbled up the fruits and stripped away the potential that Burma had to be a leader of modern economic development.
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Suu Kyi faces a far bigger task than her fellow Nobel Peace Prize laureate Nelson Mandela, who was similarly released after years of detention. South Africa was a viable state, where the essential task was to bring the majority blacks into a flourishing economy.

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