Advertisement
Shangri-La Dialogue
Opinion

Is a new cold war brewing over the South China Sea?

Michal Thim warns that the spats may harden into a stand-off – with China on one side and the US and the rest of the region on the other – that will be difficult to break

Reading Time:4 minutes
Why you can trust SCMP
Michal Thim warns that the spats may harden into a stand-off – with China on one side and the US and the rest of the region on the other – that will be difficult to break
Michal Thim
Trade blockades were difficult to implement even before the emergence of the globalised economy.
Trade blockades were difficult to implement even before the emergence of the globalised economy.
Held in Singapore every year since 2002, the Shangri-La Dialogue has become one of the – if not the – most anticipated security-related events in Asia. The dialogue owes its prestige to high-level government representation, regularly bringing together defence ministers from inside and outside the region, allowing for bilateral and multilateral meetings on the side of the official conference agenda.

Unsurprisingly, the dialogue has been dominated in recent years by a single issue: the South China Sea dispute. The speed and scale of China’s island reclamation in disputed waters that has taken place since last year’s meeting and the US countermoves in the form of freedom of navigation operations meant that its 15th iteration was no exception.

China’s strident words on South China Sea sovereignty are anything but reassuring to a wary region

For all the glittering international presence, most attention has naturally been given to speeches by US Defence Secretary Ash Carter and head of the Chinese delegation Admiral Sun Jianguo (孫建國), the deputy chief of the Joint Staff Department of the Central Military Commission.

Advertisement
If there is one thing that the dialogue will be remembered for, it is a new term, “principled security network”, coined by Carter. He used it to describe the existing multilayered web of alliances, partnerships and initiatives spanning Japan to India, and in this respect he was not pointing out something particularly new. But the emphasis on principles was remarkable. Carter used the words “principles” and “principled” 36 times in his address. He also stressed that a “principled security network” is inclusive, open to any nation and military wishing to take part.

Moreover, he pointed out what should be obvious to everyone in the region: Beijing’s actions create anxiety among its neighbours. “As a result, China’s actions in the South China Sea are isolating it at a time when the entire region is coming together and networking. Unfortunately, if these actions continue, China could end up erecting a Great Wall of self-isolation,” said Carter.

Advertisement
Admiral Sun Jianguo, who led the Chinese delegation, rejected the characterisation that China was isolating itself. Photo: AP
Admiral Sun Jianguo, who led the Chinese delegation, rejected the characterisation that China was isolating itself. Photo: AP

China takes veiled shot at ‘destabilising’ US presence in the Asia-Pacific

Advertisement
Select Voice
Choose your listening speed
Get through articles 2x faster
1.25x
250 WPM
Slow
Average
Fast
1.25x