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Opinion

North Korea’s nuclear test doesn’t signal US deterrence policy has failed, or the need for pre-emption

Robert Delaney says that it is too late to stop Pyongyang’s nuclear programme, but policymakers in Washington, Beijing, Seoul and Tokyo can still work to prevent global nuclear catastrophe

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North Korean leader Kim Jong-un visiting a Korean People's Army unit in an undisclosed location in a photo released last month. Photo: TNS
Robert Delaney
US President Donald Trump struggles with policy clarity on most issues, so it isn’t surprising that his administration has sent mixed signals regarding the Korean peninsula.
This past weekend brought tensions in the region to a new level. It started with reports that Trump plans to withdraw from the US’ free-trade agreement with South Korea and ended with Pyongyang’s latest, most powerful, nuclear detonation.

It remains to be seen whether Trump kills the trade pact, needlessly damaging relations with the US’ most important military ally in Asia, but Trump probably figures another head-scratcher might let him sidestep a more fundamental question.

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Last month, national security adviser H.R. McMaster said a “preventive war” is one option the US is considering to prevent North Korea’s capability to hit major US cities with nuclear-tipped missiles.

On the face of it, the comment suggests the Trump administration might move away from the US government’s policy of deterrence when it comes to North Korea.

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Susan Rice, national security adviser under president Barack Obama, explained in an interview what deterrence means and why it would be a mistake to move to the pre-emptive approach:
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