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Angela Merkel
Opinion

Why a weakened Angela Merkel is still the most important politician in the West

Andrew Hammond says the full ramifications of the German election, and the newly empowered far right, are unclear but Merkel remains on course to set records, as well as influence the terms for Brexit

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German Chancellor Angela Merkel and members of her ruling coalition react after winning the German general election on Sunday in Berlin. Photo: Reuters
Andrew Hammond
Angela Merkel has won her fourth straight general election, while the far-right Alternative for Germany party (AfD) surged to third place. Merkel’s victory could have key implications beyond Germany, including for Brexit negotiations.

The unexpected narrative of election night was the higher-than-previously-anticipated support for the AfD, which won around 13 per cent of the vote, according to exit polls. The party therefore becomes the first far-right group to win Bundestag seats in some six decades, and could trigger a significant shift in the country’s post-war politics.

The AfD campaigned extensively on immigration, which has grown significantly in salience since 2015, when Merkel allowed around 900,000 migrants and refugees into the country. Moreover, some elements of the German far right sought to link her immigration stance to recent terror atrocities – including a truck attack in Berlin that killed a dozen people last December.
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A demonstrator holds a poster reading “Not my Mum,” a play on Chancellor Angela Merkel’s nickname (“Mum”), on Sunday after the German election. Photo: AP
A demonstrator holds a poster reading “Not my Mum,” a play on Chancellor Angela Merkel’s nickname (“Mum”), on Sunday after the German election. Photo: AP
Yet, the anti-immigrant message did not resonate with the German electorate on Sunday as well as it did during the French presidential ballot this year. That ballot saw National Front populist Marine Le Pen in the final round run-off against Emmanuel Macron, where she secured some 40 per cent of the vote.

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Part of the reason the AfD did not connect with even more of the electorate is the relative sense of contentment in much of the country. Many, but by no means all, Germans still see themselves as beneficiaries of globalisation, with unemployment this year the lowest since the reunification of east and west Germany.

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