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To fight income inequality in Hong Kong, take on the property development cartel

Philip Bowring says that the problem of Hong Kong’s income inequality can’t be solved without taking on development cartels and addressing runaway home prices, and suggests raising rates and phasing out interest relief

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Residential buildings stand in the Deep Water Bay and Repulse Bay areas. Cheap money is the single most important cause of the asset bubbles affecting real estate in many cities, and stock prices globally. Photo: Bloomberg
Budget time is coming and it’s an occasion to look at the nexus between home prices, tax policy and income maldistribution in Hong Kong. Usually, these are deemed separate issues and dealt with in the piecemeal fashion of a bureaucrat-led government.
The first two issues contribute massively to the third, however. Therefore, the first step must be to ensure that policy does not make things worse. That well-known promoter of populist causes, Sun Hung Kai Properties, suggests that to help new homeowners, the government through the Hong Kong Mortgage Corporation ease down payments for first-time buyers. Isn’t that nice? Well, yes if you want more money chasing the same amount of property. Pour in more fuel when money is cheaper than ever, repayment periods close to all-time highs and tax policy promotes mortgage debt.

Cheap money is already the single most important cause of the asset bubbles affecting real estate in many cities, and stock prices globally, and with our US dollar peg, Hong Kong cannot escape. But our problem is that the primary local actors – the government and big developers – thrive on asset inflation. Both have a long history of restricting land supply to promote that. All the talk of the difficulties of increasing land supply is little more than a lame excuse.

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Financial secretaries live in dread of property price falls because they are bad, not for the economy, but for their budgets, in the form of land revenue, profits tax and stamp duty. For 15 years, they could let asset inflation do their work for them, avoiding the challenge of broadening revenue. Instead, they have undermined their tax base and fuelled asset prices through mortgage and other tax relief, benefiting the upper 20 per cent of earners.

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Hong Kong housing policy should focus on those living in the poorest conditions

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