Advertisement
Advertisement
Opinion
Macroscope
by David Brown
Macroscope
by David Brown
Enough of car crash economics: global ‘recovery’ has failed too many people
David Brown says neoliberal policies have corrupted the promise of shared well-being, and a new international consensus is necessary to ensure fair housing, education and tax policies, as well as increased international growth
Whatever happened to all our post-war dreams for a brave new world based on growth, prosperity and well-being for all, rather than the privileged few? Where did global recovery go so wrong that it failed so many? Wealth and income inequality has never been so marked, especially now that new labour-saving technologies are putting so many global jobs at risk. The world economy based on neoliberalism and free-market capitalism is failing badly and putting us all at grave risk. A change in world thinking and leadership is needed before it is too late.
The idealism which emerged out of the ashes of the second world war is fast disappearing. Multinationalism is dying and we are moving to a world driven by the “me” rather than “we” economy, where self-interest, individualism and national chauvinism are becoming revered above all else. The power and influence of international agencies like the United Nations, World Bank, International Monetary Fund and World Trade Organisation, which spearheaded global economic development in the post-war era are losing traction.
Our economic policies are being driven by the high temple of wealth creation and free-market forces, while the clock is being turned back on post-war welfare provision in the name of austerity and economic necessity. The squeeze on health, education and social spending in the United States, Europe and Britain in the past 10 years is a sad testament to that trend.
The next time the world hits the crash barriers, it could be carnage. After the 2008 financial crisis, it was only the collective efforts of governments, central banks and supranational agencies like the IMF which saved our skins. Neoliberal thinking offered few practical solutions, but neo-Keynesian remedies did an outstanding repair job by way of zero interest rates and quantitative easing, combined with huge doses of deficit spending. Without them, the world would have been lost.
In the glut of cheap and easy money generated in the wake of the crash, it has been the well-off, asset-rich and super-wealthy elite who have capitalised most as financial markets rocketed, while the cost of recovery has largely fallen on the unemployed, the less-well-off, lower-earning taxpayers and pensioners as fiscal austerity and debt deflation have taken their toll on growth and government finances. The burden should have been spread far more equitably.
We are not out of danger yet. Multinational endeavours are still needed to bolster global recovery and promote responsible stimulus policies. Policy harmonisation and internationally coordinated economic regeneration must be prioritised over national self-interest typified by the US’ “America first” stance. It would be better if US President Donald Trump could show support for the UN, IMF and G7 rather than taking a wrecking ball approach.
Major industrial nations must think outside the box to promote free-trade policies and unpick protectionism to help emerging markets boost economic growth prospects. Loan writedowns should be granted to release poorer nations from crippling debt exposure. More development aid is needed to free less-developed nations from the poverty trap.
In the major economies, greater accountability is critical. Big business should act responsibly or face severe legal consequences for corporate abuses. The banking system must be held to account for damage caused by risky lending practices, corruption and toxic product innovation. Tax avoidance should be outlawed, exploitative tax havens closed down, while the global accounting industry needs much tougher policing.
A major marshalling of resources is needed from the major nations to raise the odds of world GDP growth accelerating from its current rate up to a 4-5 per cent range in future. Rather than leave it to chance and the vagaries of market forces, there is a big opportunity for governments to invest in transport, housing, telecoms, education, health and renewable energy to help deliver faster economic growth longer term.
As monetary super-stimulus winds down, increased government deficit spending is imperative to keep global growth momentum fired up. Keynesian demand management filled the gap after the Great Depression in the 1930s and extra fiscal pump-priming will be needed to make up the economic shortfall in the wake of the 2008 financial crash.
The world has had enough of car crash economics and there is a real need to get global growth back on the road to sustainable recovery. A new economic model is long overdue.
David Brown is chief executive of New View Economics
This article appeared in the South China Morning Post print edition as: New economic model needed for sustainable global growth
Post