Trump win no less than a revolution in political science
Like so many of the American electorate, I do not support Donald Trump, nor Hillary Clinton. I am British and, thus, cannot vote in the US.
However, I did call a Trump victory, after spending time in Washington in late June and predicting the likelihood of covert Trump voters ashamed of polling for Trump – who obviously voted. So, the opinion polls were again hopelessly wrong. We knew that from Brexit. The US learnt nothing from Brexit; immigration was arguably a key issue in both Brexit and the Trump victory, which I will call “The Trexit”.
Women, African American and Latino voters disliked or distrusted ex-secretary Hillary Clinton, her husband and the 44th president even more than Trump, and that is shocking.
Most pundits predicted the Republican Party would be destroyed by the time polls closed on the West coast. These pundits too were wildly wrong. The Democratic Party is now in a shambles. The Republican Party controls all three levers of US government, which has not happened since 2005.
The Trump win is no less than a revolution in political science and a remarkable achievement, even though the campaign was acutely toxic on both sides. Secretary Clinton was advised by Michelle Obama to “go high” when toxic Trump “went low”. Clinton said she would never go low but her advertising campaign belied this purported philosophy.
Now the US must heal itself and Trump, the 45th president, must start to form his cabinet, assemble a solid and informed and, hopefully, broad church of advisers, and deal with an unprecedented class action case against the president-elect on November 28.
The implications of Trexit for Asia, Hong Kong and China, let alone the rest of the world, its order and economies, will make for interesting and extraordinary times.
Timothy Peirson-Smith, managing director, Executive Counsel Limited