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  1. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Yuan's rise traps authorities between rock and hard place

    Posted Apr 26th 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... Tom Holland Policymakers can stand by and keep letting the currency test new heights or step in to absorb inflows, risking a rise in consumer prices Yuan's rise traps authorities ... likely exacerbate property price rises that the authorities are already struggling to control. To prevent this inflationary impulse, it is likely the central bank would choose to soak up much ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1223182/yuans-rise-traps-authorities-between-rock-and-hard-place
  2. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    We don't need a Future Fund. The future is already upon us

    Posted Mar 05th 2014, 01:34am by Tom Holland

    ... sheet. They also pay little attention to the government's physical assets, which include Hong Kong's water system, airport, rail network and two theme parks, among many others. All ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1440476/we-dont-need-future-fund-future-already-upon-us
  3. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Fiscal report based on lunatic projection of capital spending

    Posted Mar 04th 2014, 05:09am by Tom Holland

    ... billion in 2014 to an eye-popping HK$515 billion in 2041. To put that sum into perspective, it is enough to build four new runways for Hong Kong airport each year. The working group explains ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1439605/fiscal-report-based-lunatic-projection-capital-spending
  4. Business - Economy - MONITOR

    Beijing sets irreconcilable economic targets for 2014

    Posted Dec 16th 2013, 04:28am by Tom Holland

    ... has been poorly allocated. Countless billions of yuan have been poured into building unneeded roads, bridges and airports which see little or no traffic. Even more has been pumped into heavy ... each year just to maintain the same rate of growth. That's unsustainable, of course, which is why the authorities want to limit debt and tackle overcapacity before they run ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/economy/article/1381376/beijing-sets-irreconcilable-economic-targets-2014
  5. Business - Economy - MONITOR

    The yuan is falling, but only because Beijing wants it to

    Posted Mar 03rd 2014, 02:59am by Tom Holland

    ... the currency duly began to slump just one week later, we can be certain that the mainland authorities were behind the move. The reasons Beijing would like to see the yuan fall are clear enough. Yuan ... Asian countries. So in an attempt to create a sense of two-way risk and deter further inflows, the authorities decided to manipulate the yuan lower on the domestic foreign-exchange market. ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/economy/article/1438811/yuan-falling-only-because-beijing-wants-it
  6. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    A nice idea Mr Yam, but it will be a long time before it can fly

    Posted Feb 19th 2014, 01:27am by Tom Holland

    ... Tom Holland Ex-Monetary Authority chief's call for an end to PBOC's use of reserve requirements is unworkable as long as China maintains capital controls A nice idea Mr Yam, but it will be a long time before it can fly Former Hong Kong Monetary Authority boss Joseph Yam Chi-kwong may have retired from his position as the world's most generously paid central banker, but he ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1430637/nice-idea-mr-yam-it-will-be-long-time-it-can-fly
  7. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    By avoiding a small crisis now China risks a big one in future

    Posted Jan 29th 2014, 05:02am by Tom Holland

    ... the original backer of the failed coal company that borrowed the money in the first place. It could be none, any, or all of them. But whichever it is, no one can doubt that China's authorities ... containable. In contrast, the risks created by this week's bailout may turn out to be entirely uncontrollable. By approving the rescue of investors in Credit Equals Gold, the authorities ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1416112/avoiding-small-crisis-now-china-risks-big-one-future
  8. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Neither Singapore nor Hong Kong is an Iceland waiting to happen

    Posted Feb 14th 2014, 12:42am by Tom Holland

    ... The government has imposed a series of administrative restrictions aimed at cooling the property market, while the Hong Kong Monetary Authority has sounded the alarm about rising levels of consumer debt ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1427348/neither-singapore-nor-hong-kong-iceland-waiting-happen
  9. Business - Banking & Finance - MONITOR

    The encouraging signs behind China's record funding figures

    Posted Feb 17th 2014, 04:47am by Tom Holland

    ... the transition to a new leadership over 2012 and early 2013. Finally, we can see how the authorities have sought to tighten policy over the past six months. You can still take this tightening two ways. ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/banking-finance/article/1429144/encouraging-signs-behind-chinas-record-funding-figures
  10. Business - China Business - MONITOR

    It's tough, but China must let trust company products fail

    Posted Jan 27th 2014, 04:23am by Tom Holland

    ... of doing so. Yet they may well reason that the bank's reputation would suffer too much damage if they allow the product to fail. Similarly, China's authorities may decide a default could ... If the authorities do now let the 3 billion Credit Equals Gold No1 product fail, there is the danger of a knock-on chain reaction, with plunging public confidence triggering a series of similar defaults. ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/china-business/article/1414377/its-tough-china-must-let-trust-company-products-fail

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