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  • November 28, 2014
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  1. Business - Economy - MONITOR

    The yuan is falling, but only because Beijing wants it to

    Posted Mar 03rd 2014, 02:59am by Tom Holland

    ... because Beijing wants it to It is hard to fathom quite why so many people have been surprised by the recent fall in the value of the yuan. Over the past couple of weeks, the mainland currency has ... appreciated more or less steadily ever since mid-2010, when the People's Bank of China readopted its crawling peg after a two-year hiatus, Beijing has long signalled that the currency should ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/economy/article/1438811/yuan-falling-only-because-beijing-wants-it
  2. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    The essential financial reform Beijing cannot afford to ignore

    Posted Jan 28th 2014, 01:27am by Tom Holland

    ... Tom Holland Abolition of a mainland agricultural tax boosted farming a decade ago, but also helped to create a massive local government debt pile The essential financial reform Beijing ... rate, growing almost fourfold in real terms during Hu's time in power. But following the upheavals of the late 1990s, when Beijing drastically pruned back state-owned industries, cutting ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1415294/essential-financial-reform-beijing-cannot-afford-ignore
  3. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Beijing's financial reforms will push up interest rates

    Posted Jan 16th 2014, 11:41pm by Tom Holland

    ... Tom Holland The mainland's plan to let market forces set lending costs and allocate credit will be worth it despite the pain endured by some, like state firms Beijing's financial reforms will push up interest rates In recent months Beijing has slowly been relaxing its long-standing controls over the mainland's interest rates. In July last year, the central bank ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1407148/beijings-financial-reforms-will-push-interest-rates
  4. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Nothing new in Beijing's latest 'clampdown' on shadow loans

    Posted Jan 08th 2014, 03:33am by Tom Holland

    ... in Beijing's latest 'clampdown' on shadow loans Another year, another clampdown on China's shadow banking system. Last month, the State Council issued a policy directive aimed ... and risky market in informal loans. Beijing's concern is understandable. In the past five years, the value of off-balance-sheet lending has exploded. In the first 11 months of last year, new ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1400132/nothing-new-beijings-latest-clampdown-shadow-loans
  5. Business - Economy - MONITOR

    Beijing sets irreconcilable economic targets for 2014

    Posted Dec 16th 2013, 04:28am by Tom Holland

    ... Tom Holland Much needed reforms will slow down the economy, so a pledge of stable growth is at odds with priorities of tackling debt and overcapacity Beijing sets irreconcilable economic ... Beijing's main policy objectives for 2014 will be to maintain output growth at a stable rate while implementing key economic reforms. Unfortunately, these two aims- stable growth and structural ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/economy/article/1381376/beijing-sets-irreconcilable-economic-targets-2014
  6. Business - Economy - MONITOR

    Beijing's statistical sleight of hand

    Posted Dec 06th 2013, 05:09am by Tom Holland

    ... Tom Holland China hasn't beaten the business cycle, it's just tampered with price data Beijing's statistical sleight of hand At times over the last five years, enthusiasts for China's economic policies have claimed that Beijing has succeeded where everyone else has failed by finally eliminating the business cycle. While the developed world slumped into a protracted ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/economy/article/1373982/beijings-statistical-sleight-hand
  7. Business - Economy - MONITOR

    Beijing's targets likely to play down growth for reform focus

    Posted Dec 09th 2013, 04:50am by Tom Holland

    ... Tom Holland Shift in emphasis for 2014 objectives in store at meeting of policymakers, who will almost certainly stick with 'prudent' monetary policy setting Beijing's targets likely to play down growth for reform focus This week, a clutch of China's top economic policymakers will gather in Beijing to set their objectives for next year. In previous years, ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/economy/article/1376286/beijings-targets-likely-play-down-growth-reform-focus
  8. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Despite default risk, Beijing is stuck with US Treasury debt

    Posted Oct 16th 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... Tom Holland None of the diversification options – commodities, foreign equities and property and debt of other big sovereign borrowers – look attractive Despite default risk, Beijing is stuck with US Treasury debt The international flap over US debt ceiling negotiations is causing disquiet in Beijing. The chances that Washington will actually default on US Treasury bills ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1332551/despite-default-risk-beijing-stuck-us-treasury-debt
  9. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Beijing trying to make a virtue out of dire economic necessity

    Posted Sep 05th 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... Tom Holland High leverage and a shrinking bang for every additional investment buck point to a steep and protracted slowdown for China's economy Beijing trying to make a virtue out of dire economic necessity President Xi Jinping says Beijing has deliberately engineered the current slowdown in the mainland's economic growth in order to push ahead with structural reform. ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1303477/beijing-trying-make-virtue-out-dire-economic-necessity
  10. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    True level of bad loans is far higher than Beijing admits

    Posted Aug 16th 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... Tom Holland While no one believes official line, no amount of statistical flexibility will ease the impact when problems mount in tandem with slowing economy True level of bad loans is far higher than Beijing admits When Chinese regulators said earlier this week that non-performing loans on the mainland amount to less than 1 per cent of total bank lending, no one believed a word ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1297040/true-level-bad-loans-far-higher-beijing-admits

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