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  • September 23, 2014
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  1. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    All is not what it seems when it comes to China's trade figures

    Posted Jan 09th 2014, 11:51pm by Tom Holland

    ... Tom Holland If double-counting in transshipments and over-invoicing are stripped out of the calculations, US remains a bigger trading power than China All is not what it seems when it comes to China's trade figures China's trade figures for December are not out yet, but already the local media is trumpeting that the country is the world's greatest trading ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1401758/all-not-what-it-seems-when-it-comes-chinas-trade-figures
  2. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    China not the all-conquering trade power figures suggest

    Posted Dec 19th 2013, 12:12am by Tom Holland

    ... Tom Holland Trade data considerably overstates the value of China's exports because the figures fail to account for many parts being built in other countries China not the all-conquering trade power figures suggest As everyone knows, China is the workshop of the world. Since it joined the World Trade Organisation in 2001, China's trade with the rest of the world has ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1385360/china-not-all-conquering-trade-power-figures-suggest
  3. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    It pays China to block global deals on climate and trade

    Posted Dec 17th 2013, 03:19am by Tom Holland

    ... on climate and trade It's been a hectic couple of months for government negotiators and the myriad do-gooders, lobbyists and other hangers-on that habitually flock to international summit ... to Bali for the ninth ministerial meeting of the World Trade Organisation. But all those days and nights spent in talks haven't been terribly productive. In Warsaw, government environment ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1382763/it-pays-china-block-global-deals-climate-and-trade
  4. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Yuan rise a zero-sum game which Hong Kong is losing

    Posted Sep 06th 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... which Hong Kong is losing After all the hype about the yuan's unstoppable advance, we finally have a reliable snapshot of how widely the Chinese currency is being traded in international ... ranked ninth in the league table of the world's most traded currencies, with a market share of just 2.2 per cent - behind the Mexican peso (see the first chart). Contrast that with the US ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1304244/yuan-rise-zero-sum-game-which-hong-kong-losing
  5. Business - Banking & Finance - MONITOR

    Hong Kong should scrap its stamp duty on share trading

    Posted Oct 18th 2013, 04:31am by Tom Holland

    ... stamp duty on share trading To support its unsuccessful attempt to list in Hong Kong, Chinese internet retail giant Alibaba argued that the city's share of Asian stock market trading ... market. It is true that trading activity in Hong Kong-listed shares is relatively limp by regional standards. In the first nine months of this year, Hong Kong's average market velocity- ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/banking-finance/article/1333961/hong-kong-should-scrap-its-stamp-duty-share-trading
  6. Business - Economy - MONITOR

    What Shanghai's brand new free-trade zone won't offer

    Posted Sep 30th 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... Shanghai's brand new free-trade zone won't offer A day after the official launch of Shanghai's new free-trade zone we know little more about the project than we did a week before. Despite ... At first glance, that seems to contradict everything we have heard about Shanghai's free-trade zone. In the last few weeks finance sector analysts by the dozen have put out research notes ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/economy/article/1320818/what-shanghais-brand-new-free-trade-zone-wont-offer
  7. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Shanghai free zone smells like it's just another property deal

    Posted Sep 16th 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... By Mencken's definition, then, Monitor is a cynic. Whenever anyone waxes lyrical about the stunning potential of the mainland's latest special economic district or free-trade zone, this column ... Shanghai's free-trade zone later this month, apparently untroubled by the awkward fact that policymakers have yet to decide exactly what will make the district so special. There have been vague ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1310491/shanghai-free-zone-smells-its-just-another-property-deal
  8. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    George Osborne is wrong about China and the yuan

    Posted Feb 21st 2014, 12:24am by Tom Holland

    ... Tom Holland British chancellor is keen to see the yuan used as an international currency, but China's trade surplus will be a major stumbling block George Osborne is wrong about China ... want to see is [the yuan] being used more and more as a currency of choice in the world". Yes, the yuan has gained ground recently as a currency for trade settlement (although if you strip ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1432166/george-osborne-wrong-about-china-and-yuan
  9. Business - Banking & Finance - MONITOR

    Four reasons the yuan will struggle to gain acceptance

    Posted Feb 06th 2014, 04:24am by Tom Holland

    ... probably within the next decade or two. You can see why they think so. The fast growth of China's economy, its ascent as a trading power, the rapid spread of the yuan as a trade currency ... rise to pre-eminence as the world's currency of choice for international trade and investment can only be a matter of time. Yet a look at the economic history books advises caution. Over ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/banking-finance/article/1421684/four-reasons-yuan-will-struggle-gain-acceptance
  10. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Fiscal report based on lunatic projection of capital spending

    Posted Mar 04th 2014, 05:09am by Tom Holland

    ... non-traded prices in the sector sharply higher. If it didn't build so much, costs wouldn't rise so quickly. In any case, even keeping capital spending constant in real terms would be crazy. ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1439605/fiscal-report-based-lunatic-projection-capital-spending

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