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  1. Business - Comment - MONITOR TOM HOLLAND

    Wrong about the stock market, right about government idiocy

    Posted Dec 18th 2012, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... Tom Holland Lessons to learn from the hits and misses as equities and property sectors make strong gains over the past year Wrong about the stock market, right about government idiocy ... that the forecasts made by investment banks for stock market performance looked "absurdly over-optimistic". I singled out Credit Suisse for its Panglossian attitude to markets, although I could ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1107216/wrong-about-stock-market-right-about-government-idiocy
  2. Business - Economy - MONITOR TOM HOLLAND

    Five years after crisis began, we still can't see the elephant

    Posted Aug 17th 2012, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... earlier. Whatever the exact date, the convulsions have gone on ever since. First we had the credit crunch, then the bursting of the mainland stock market bubble, followed by the commodity boom that saw the price of oil hit a record US$144 a barrel. Then came the implosion of Lehman Brothers, a stock market crash that wiped US$20 trillion off the value of shares globally, the collapse ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/economy/article/1016530/five-years-after-crisis-began-we-still-cant-see-elephant
  3. Business - Comment - MONITOR TOM HOLLAND

    Cyclically bullish on China's market but a structural bear

    Posted Jan 11th 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... but a structural bear Acouple of days ago, Monitor peered into its crystal ball and argued that the month-old rally in mainland stock markets looks set to continue. The prediction was based on a look ... and the stock market duly followed with a handsome rally in December. Even better, the credit multiplier has continued to rise since, indicating that the A-share market rally should have further to run ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1125006/cyclically-bullish-chinas-market-structural-bear
  4. Business - Money - MONITOR TOM HOLLAND

    Dual-currency IPO breaks cardinal rule of capital markets

    Posted Aug 15th 2012, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... to launch a dual-currency yuan and Hong Kong dollar share offering on the city's stock market. It's a lousy idea. You can see why someone thought a dual-currency listing might be a clever ... demand for yuan-denominated shares in the Hong Kong market. Shares in the Hui Xian Real Estate Investment Trust (Hong Kong's sole yuan-denominated stock apart from an index-tracking fund ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/money/markets-investing/article/1014927/dual-currency-ipo-breaks-cardinal-rule-capital
  5. Business - Comment - MONITOR TOM HOLLAND

    Mainland buyers don't share enthusiasm for China shares

    Posted Nov 28th 2012, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... for China shares Yesterday the mainland's most closely followed stock market index, the Shanghai composite, slipped 1.3 per cent, falling below the 2,000 mark to close at its lowest since ... regulators have made repeated attempts to boost China's ailing markets. They have told investors that equities are a bargain, and pressed companies to buy their own stock, even allowing managers ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1092410/mainland-buyers-dont-share-enthusiasm-china-shares
  6. Business - Comment - MONITOR TOM HOLLAND

    How to make money in 2013: just go with the liquidity flow

    Posted Jan 09th 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... Tom Holland With lots of cash sloshing around, further gains are expected in the Hong Kong and mainland stock markets in the coming year How to make money in 2013: just go ... to make money in 2013 is what everyone wants to know. Happily there are a few pointers out there. The first place to look is the Hong Kong stock market. After the benchmark Hang Seng Index turned ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1123267/how-make-money-2013-just-go-liquidity-flow
  7. Business - Comment - MONITOR TOM HOLLAND

    Stories of HK$1m parking slots mean it's finally time to worry

    Posted Nov 21st 2012, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... in the Tokyo stock market over the next few years, while riding Hong Kong's 500 per cent appreciation. New accounts poured in. During the early 1990s, however, Dye became increasingly nervous about the US stock market. As early as April 1992 he was quoted in the British press saying that Wall Street was "looking vulnerable on a tremendously high valuation". In early 1995, ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1086955/stories-hk1m-parking-slots-mean-its-finally-time-worry
  8. Business - Comment - MONITOR TOM HOLLAND

    Over the US fiscal cliff and out of the financial woods

    Posted Dec 04th 2012, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... with talks in Washington aimed at cushioning the impact deadlocked, equity analysts are expecting a choppy time for the US stock market. But although negotiations between the White House and Congress ... be a paltry 0.5 per cent, compared to an expected growth rate this year of more than 2 per cent. According to Melissa Kidd, global equity strategist at Lombard Street Research, the US stock market has ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1096781/over-us-fiscal-cliff-and-out-financial-woods
  9. Business - Comment - MONITOR TOM HOLLAND

    Plunge in gold price puts a bad idea out of its misery

    Posted May 20th 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... Inevitably, if the stock market is in positive territory at this time of year, someone always trots out the old Wall Street adage "sell in May and go away". The idea is that trading ... As a result, stock market folk wisdom teaches that a wise investor sells his holdings in May, sits on the sidelines over the summer, and buys back into the market in November. Looking at Hong ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1241439/plunge-gold-price-puts-bad-idea-out-its-misery
  10. Business - MONITOR TOM HOLLAND

    Claims for China's household wealth just don't add up

    Posted Aug 20th 2012, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... cent of China's stock market capitalisation, which is generous given the limited free float, then they own around 10 trillion yuan worth of shares. On top of that, they have 40 trillion ... the size of the typical Hong Kong flat. Given that the average household comprises 3.1 members, that implies China's housing stock totals roughly 50 billion square metres. It may well do ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1018753/claims-chinas-household-wealth-just-dont-add

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