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  • September 23, 2014
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  1. Business - Money - COMMENT

    Never confuse risk and volatility in investing

    Posted Sep 13th 2014, 04:47am by Reuters

    ... than they formerly did, trusting in policy to rescue them if only they eat the magic risk pill in order to get the magic return. We are already seeing that, especially in credit markets. ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/money/markets-investing/article/1591247/never-confuse-risk-and-volatility-investing
  2. Business - Money - COMMENT

    Matter of luck as investors get better

    Posted Aug 18th 2014, 04:01am by Reuters

    ... of global financial strategies at Credit Suisse, this is the idea that as the range of skills among players in a given game narrows, the relative importance in luck in determining outcomes rises. ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/money/markets-investing/article/1575642/matter-luck-investors-get-better
  3. Business - Commodities - COMMENT

    Copper stockpiles could wash back into market amid probe fallout

    Posted Jun 10th 2014, 01:02am by Reuters

    ... Andy Home Copper stockpiles of about 700,000 tonnes could wash back into market amid probe fallout If Qingdao is troubling, think of Shanghai's metal mountain Credit is what makes ... and underpinned by letters of credit, the point where the worlds of finance and physical trade meet. Over the past decade more and more of that flow has been heading to China to feed the country's ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/commodities/article/1528926/copper-stockpiles-could-wash-back-market-amid-probe-fallout
  4. Business - China Business - COMMENT

    China's credit-driven train runs out of track

    Posted Jan 04th 2014, 02:14am by BLOOM

    ... Patrick Chovanec Far from solving the cash crunch, Beijing's loose monetary policy will further drive up bad debts Mainland's credit-driven train runs out of track A financial ... policy. Optimists assumed the PBOC was tightening credit on purpose, as a warning to banks to rein in unsafe lending practices. With inflation at manageable levels, they reasoned, the central bank ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/china-business/article/1396935/chinas-credit-driven-train-runs-out-track
  5. Business - Economy - COMMENT

    Xi Jinping's 'new normal' with Chinese characteristics

    Posted May 14th 2014, 11:32am by Reuters

    ... growth of 13.7 per cent. That would seem to suggest a strongly growing economy with ample, if decreasing, credit, but the reality is a bit more complicated. For one thing, much of that credit ... choking banks with unwanted liquidity, China feeds state-sector enterprise with credit. "Granting credit to profitless corporates is not too much different from having quantitative-easing ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/economy/article/1511855/xi-jinpings-new-normal-chinese-characteristics
  6. Business - Economy - COMMENT

    China builds rebalancing on weakness in real estate

    Posted Apr 28th 2014, 04:43am by James Saft

    ... described most imaginatively by Hyman Minsky in his work on balance sheets, in which the system requires an acceleration in credit growth simply to maintain existing levels of economic ... how political questions are resolved. So, while the government has a stake in a transition away from low-quality investment, many bet that it will not allow credit to tighten so badly ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/economy/article/1498465/china-builds-rebalancing-weakness-real-estate
  7. Business - Economy - COMMENT

    How liquidity evaporates from China

    Posted Apr 18th 2014, 01:17am by RICHARD HARRIS

    ... feet wet or the tanks ran dry. Computers have made liquidity statistics accurate but no easier to understand. The recent release of the mainland's credit figures is a perfect example of how not to look at the exact figures, but the trends. Not only did the creation of new credit fall 19 per cent, but M2 money supply growth has shrunk to the lowest levels since records began. ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/economy/article/1486363/how-liquidity-evaporates-china
  8. Business - Economy - COMMENT

    China credit risks grow as debt produces less GDP, loans rolled over

    Posted Jun 04th 2013, 12:00am by Reuters

    ... James Saft Increase in borrowings and low level of bad loans are signals that debt is not being repaid Mainland debt risk rises as credit produces less growth The mainland is requiring ... in the first quarter cooled to 7.7 per cent from 8.1 per cent a year ago, this was achieved in part courtesy of a 58 per cent bump in aggregate credit. On that basis, every dollar borrowed in China ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/economy/article/1252796/china-credit-risks-grow-debt-produces-less-gdp-loans-rolled-over
  9. Business - Economy - COMMENT

    Letting the air out of the bubbles

    Posted Apr 02nd 2014, 11:28am by JOE ZHANG

    ... Joe Zhang Rather than bursting, mainland real estate and credit markets will take decades to unwind Like water torture, asset bubbles will deflate slowly Despite the familiar refrain from analysts these last few years, China's real estate and credit bubbles have not burst. While I, too, am worried, I have not been brave enough to venture a prediction until now: I think ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/economy/article/1463048/letting-air-out-bubbles
  10. Business - Economy - COMMENT

    For reforms to cut through hype, start with graft fix

    Posted Nov 20th 2013, 02:55am by BLOOM

    ... random lifestyle checks on top party officials to see who owns too many houses Xi may face even stronger resistance. Credit where it's due: the 60-point plan released late on Friday is more ... holdings or carbon footprint? And when will all this happen? The Communist Party intends to liberalise the financial system. Terrific, but does that mean a more independent central bank to set ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/economy/article/1360444/reforms-cut-through-hype-start-graft-fix

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