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  • April 20, 2014
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  1. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    George Osborne is wrong about China and the yuan

    Posted Feb 21st 2014, 12:24am by Tom Holland

    ... Tom Holland British chancellor is keen to see the yuan used as an international currency, but China's trade surplus will be a major stumbling block George Osborne is wrong about China and the yuan British government ministers do like visiting this part of the world. Prime Minister David Cameron was in China in December, attempting to promote British exports ("Do we buy anything ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1432166/george-osborne-wrong-about-china-and-yuan
  2. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Who's more damaging, Hong Kong officials or Occupy Central?

    Posted Feb 25th 2014, 12:32am by Tom Holland

    ... Tom Holland Forget scare stories about looming disruption and economic costs from protests, these guys are amateurs compared with government bunglers Who's more damaging, HK officials or Occupy Central? Among the grievances aired at Hong Kong's weekend protest against media censorship were complaints that editors have been leaning on local journalists to stress the supposed ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1434352/whos-more-damaging-hong-kong-officials-or-occupy-central
  3. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Fears over a 'tail risk' hard landing in China are growing

    Posted Feb 20th 2014, 01:10am by Tom Holland

    ... in China are growing Yesterday, the South China Morning Post reported how Beijing's central propaganda department has instructed mainland media organisations not to give air time or column inches to foreign bank economists worried about the dangers posed by China's ballooning debt levels. As a crisis prevention measure, that's like thinking you can eliminate the threat ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1431315/fears-over-tail-risk-hard-landing-china-are-growing
  4. Business - Banking & Finance - MONITOR

    The encouraging signs behind China's record funding figures

    Posted Feb 17th 2014, 04:47am by Tom Holland

    ... Tom Holland January's data in fact underscores the tightening trend on the mainland, which will help avert the danger of a full-blown crisis in future years The encouraging signs behind China's record funding figures The trouble with economic statistics is that it is all too easy to see whatever you want to in the data. Take the monetary figures released by Beijing ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/banking-finance/article/1429144/encouraging-signs-behind-chinas-record-funding-figures
  5. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Even an export rebound won't do much to lift China growth

    Posted Feb 13th 2014, 01:07am by Tom Holland

    ... Tom Holland As the mainland has become an economic powerhouse in recent years, foreign demand now plays a much smaller role in driving expansion Even an export rebound won't do much to lift China growth The mainland's January trade figures confounded analysts everywhere. Released yesterday, last month's exports were not only much stronger than anyone expected, ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1426699/even-export-rebound-wont-do-much-lift-china-growth
  6. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    After nine years, it's time to leave the stage

    Posted Mar 06th 2014, 12:25am by Tom Holland

    ... to leave the stage Gentle readers, this will be my last daily column for the South China Morning Post. After nine years, 2,000 articles, and 1.5 million words- more even than Marcel Proust's ... it is perhaps less surprising how things have changed than how much they have remained the same. An awful lot has changed, of course. When I joined the South China Morning Post in February 2005, Tung ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1441327/after-nine-years-its-time-leave-stage
  7. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Conspiracy theories abound about China's gold purchases

    Posted Feb 11th 2014, 01:51am by Tom Holland

    ... China's gold purchases China's huge appetite for gold has inspired dozens of conspiracy theories. They are all nonsense. Yes, it is true that China has been buying an awful lot of gold ... of that gold came back again after being turned into jewellery, figurines of horses and the like. Even so, China's net imports of gold through Hong Kong last year were worth a thumping HK$409 ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1425591/conspiracy-theories-abound-about-chinas-gold-purchases
  8. Business - Economy - MONITOR

    To continue growing, China will have to work a lot smarter

    Posted Feb 07th 2014, 05:17am by Tom Holland

    ... Tom Holland Productivity is the growth driver that will determine whether the optimists or pessimists are right when it comes to China's outlook To continue growing, China will have ... They expect the annual growth rate to slump well below 5 per cent over the coming years. Both camps recognise that China's economy needs to reform and rebalance, becoming a lot less dependent ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/economy/article/1422434/continue-growing-china-will-have-work-lot-smarter
  9. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    China may have problems, but this scare story isn't one of them

    Posted Feb 04th 2014, 05:57am by Tom Holland

    ... Tom Holland While alarmist talk of global meltdown sparked by a currency crisis at Chinese banks fires up doom merchants, the reality is more reassuring China may have problems, ... set their minds at rest. The chance that China will suffer a currency crisis at any time in the foreseeable future is precisely zero. And even if the country were struck by crisis, there would ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1420190/china-may-have-problems-scare-story-isnt-one-them
  10. Business - Economy - MONITOR

    The yuan is falling, but only because Beijing wants it to

    Posted Mar 03rd 2014, 02:59am by Tom Holland

    ... appreciated more or less steadily ever since mid-2010, when the People's Bank of China readopted its crawling peg after a two-year hiatus, Beijing has long signalled that the currency should ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/economy/article/1438811/yuan-falling-only-because-beijing-wants-it

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