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  • October 1, 2014
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  1. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    China's excess of industrial capacity nears danger level

    Posted Sep 24th 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... of industrial capacity nears danger level When China announced a massive stimulus programme in late 2008, the intention was to boost economic growth in the short term by investing in the infrastructure ... of China's total industrial capacity is actually operating today, a level comparable with utilisation rates during the demand slump in 2008. Worse, with companies still borrowing and investing, ...

  2. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    China Inc's balance sheet is flashing danger signals

    Posted Sep 20th 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... Tom Holland Mainland's recent lending boom has pushed corporate leverage into a potentially perilous state in terms of ratio of operating cash flow to debt China Inc's balance ... Asia, we should pay attention to corporate leverage and solvency. China has to have an economic contraction to cleanse the system GILLEM TULLOCH, FORENSIC ASIA Tulloch's preferred measure ...

  3. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    China graft probe looks more like a 'petro purge' than an assault on sleaze

    Posted Sep 04th 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... petroleum industry. To prove they really mean business, they should consider turning over a few stones in China's mining industry, in its telecommunications and electrical equipment sectors, ... on a vast scale across these sectors, as well as in the petroleum industry, because China's economic model makes it all too easy for senior officials to trade on their positions to enrich ...

  4. Business - Economy - MONITOR

    To continue growing, China will have to work a lot smarter

    Posted Feb 07th 2014, 05:17am by Tom Holland

    ... Tom Holland Productivity is the growth driver that will determine whether the optimists or pessimists are right when it comes to China's outlook To continue growing, China will have ... They expect the annual growth rate to slump well below 5 per cent over the coming years. Both camps recognise that China's economy needs to reform and rebalance, becoming a lot less dependent ...

  5. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    There's little to celebrate in China's rebounding growth

    Posted Sep 12th 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... in China's rebounding growth There's a mood of celebration in Hong Kong's financial community. Earlier this week, the mainland came out with its monthly data-dump, and the numbers all pointed towards a clear acceleration in economic activity. Confirming the picture painted by earlier purchasing managers' indices, China's industrial production was up 10.4 per cent ...

  6. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    The US$50b a year reason China's elite love tax havens

    Posted Jan 23rd 2014, 01:13am by Tom Holland

    ... reason China's elite love tax havens Yesterday an outfit called the International Consortium of Investigative Journalists published a story in several newspapers around the world alleging that close relatives of many of China's senior leaders own companies registered in offshore tax havens including the British Virgin Islands. In terms of revelatory shock, this story has as much ...

  7. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Investors need to get real about China's slowdown

    Posted Aug 21st 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... Tom Holland A steep fall in nominal growth will erode profits at companies at a time when sales growth is declining and tighten liquidity for corporate sector Investors need to get real about China's slowdown Over the past few weeks, as the trickle of data from the mainland has turned slightly more positive, investor sentiment towards the world's second-biggest ...

  8. Business - China Business - MONITOR

    It's tough, but China must let trust company products fail

    Posted Jan 27th 2014, 04:23am by Tom Holland

    ... Tom Holland If the troubled trust which matures this week is bailed out, it will set back the cause of financial reform and magnify mainland moral hazard It's tough, but China must let trust company products fail The 700 investors in China's "Credit Equals Gold No1 Trust" are hoping that Industrial and Commercial Bank of China will bail them out. ...

  9. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    To kill a promising new industry, just subsidise it

    Posted May 10th 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... available in China. According to Usha Haley, co-author of a newly published book Subsidies to Chinese Industry, state banks in China were prepared to fund up to two-thirds of solar companies' ... Tom Holland When it comes to the mainland's massive solar panel assistance, everyone loses, including the domestic producers facing debt defaults To kill a promising new industry ...

  10. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    It pays China to block global deals on climate and trade

    Posted Dec 17th 2013, 03:19am by Tom Holland

    ... prices for industry, helping to push manufacturing offshore. Much of the business has switched to China, where coal-fired energy is cheap. According to one study by Oxford University, if you were ... Tom Holland More than US$1 trillion a year is at stake if an emission deal is struck, whereas a no-deal situation will cost just US$360 billion a year It pays China to block global deals ...




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