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  • September 2, 2014
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  1. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Claims China is world's No 1 trading economy are nonsense

    Posted Feb 14th 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... is world'sNo1trading economy are nonsense If you believe the media reports, China passed another milestone last year, overtaking the United States to become the world's biggest trading economy. According ... much of China's international commerce consists of processing trade. High-value components from developed economies get imported, bolted together by low-paid workers in China ...

  2. Business - MONITOR

    Busting the myths about mighty Chinese economy

    Posted Aug 16th 2012, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... the myths about mighty Chinese economy China, we are constantly told, is misunderstood in the rest of the world. This is clearly true. Just consider China's economy. One lot of outside observers believes China will continue to grow rapidly, and that it is on track to overtake the United States as the world's largest economy by the end of this decade. Another lot is convinced ...

  3. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Despite talk of reform, no sign of rebalancing in China's data

    Posted Jan 21st 2014, 01:05am by Tom Holland

    ... Tom Holland In contrast to Beijing's pledges, investment has played a bigger role in driving the economy while the share of private demand has diminished Despite talk of reform, no sign of rebalancing in China's data Yesterday Beijing's top bean-counters announced that the mainland economy grew 7.7 per cent last year in inflation-adjusted terms. That's ...

  4. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Fears over a 'tail risk' hard landing in China are growing

    Posted Feb 20th 2014, 01:10am by Tom Holland

    ... probable outcome for the Chinese economy, it remains a possibility. And the effects should China experience such a hard landing would be so severe and so widespread that the scenario, unlikely ... published yesterday, Tim Condon, the chief economist for Asia at Dutch banking giant ING, argued that just as China's rapid growth in the 2000s lifted economies across the world, so a Chinese ...

  5. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Declining property investment the key to China's slowdown

    Posted Sep 14th 2012, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... the key to China's slowdown The worry of the week this week is the mainland's export performance. After the country recorded year-on-year export growth of just 2.7 per cent last month ... that we've seen over recent quarters. According to official figures, net exports have not contributed positively to the economy's quarterly growth rates since the end of 2010. So if we want ...

  6. Business - Economy - MONITOR

    To continue growing, China will have to work a lot smarter

    Posted Feb 07th 2014, 05:17am by Tom Holland

    ... They expect the annual growth rate to slump well below 5 per cent over the coming years. Both camps recognise that China's economy needs to reform and rebalance, becoming a lot less dependent ... Tom Holland Productivity is the growth driver that will determine whether the optimists or pessimists are right when it comes to China's outlook To continue growing, China will have ...

  7. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    No need to worry about China's competitiveness

    Posted Apr 15th 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ...'s economy hasn't suffered. Although China is no longer the most competitive producer of some low-margin goods like textiles, the country's factories have moved successfully up the value ... it to - then China's manufacturers will retain their competitive advantage despite rising wages. That's not to say a contracting labour force and rising wages will have no effect on China's economy ...

  8. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    George Osborne is wrong about China and the yuan

    Posted Feb 21st 2014, 12:24am by Tom Holland

    ... published yet). So China has only reduced the difference between its savings and investment by investing more. Far from rebalancing, as Osborne believes, the mainland's economy has become even ... to introduce more two-way risk into the yuan's exchange rate, the currency could easily weaken over the medium term. Meanwhile, as China's economy slows, its equilibrium interest rate ...

  9. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    China is getting a diminishing growth bang for its credit buck

    Posted Apr 16th 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... Tom Holland First-quarter GDP figures seem at first blush to be in sustainable territory but credit creation numbers show a different story China is getting a diminishing growth bang for its credit buck Yesterday's release of China's first-quarter growth figures came as a shock to the financial markets. Gross domestic product in the first three months of the year ...

  10. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Even an export rebound won't do much to lift China growth

    Posted Feb 13th 2014, 01:07am by Tom Holland

    ... to lift China growth The mainland's January trade figures confounded analysts everywhere. Released yesterday, last month's exports were not only much stronger than anyone expected, ... month's exports were propelled by a revival of demand from the big developed economies. Shipments to the United States rose 10.7 per cent, to Japan 16 per cent and to Europe 19.2 per cent. ...




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