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  • September 18, 2014
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  1. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Hong Kong's wealth fund is doing a lousy job investing our money

    Posted Jan 24th 2014, 02:13am by Tom Holland

    ... follow the example of other sovereign wealth funds including the China Investment Corp and allocate a portion of its assets to outside investment advisers. The money in the Exchange Fund ... is doing a lousy job investing our money You may not know about it, but Hong Kong has a sovereign wealth fund. It's called the Exchange Fund. It manages assets of HK$3 trillion, and its ...

  2. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    A good time to sell Hong Kong's family-owned banks as China's bad debt swells

    Posted Oct 25th 2013, 03:13am by Tom Holland

    ... buyers lining up to acquire two of Hong Kong's remaining family-owned banks. Both state-owned behemoth Agricultural Bank of China and Singapore's Oversea-Chinese Banking Corp ... banks stepped up their lending to the city's property market- both mortgages and loans to investment companies- and they ramped up the amounts they lent outside Hong Kong, principally ...

  3. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    George Osborne is wrong about China and the yuan

    Posted Feb 21st 2014, 12:24am by Tom Holland

    ... an investment and export-led model of growth towards something more sustainable." His analysis is spectacularly wide of the mark. It is true that China's current account surplus- the spare ... of any domestic rebalancing. By definition a country's current account balance is the difference between what it saves and what it invests. China saves more than it needs to fund its ...

  4. Business - Economy - MONITOR

    To continue growing, China will have to work a lot smarter

    Posted Feb 07th 2014, 05:17am by Tom Holland

    ... will release a pent-up wave of productivity growth. That boost, they say, should easily offset any short-term pain caused by the elimination of excess capacity in China's over-invested heavy ... Essentially it's what produces the growth you can't account for either by adding workers or boosting investment. Economists call it total factor productivity, or TFP. In China, very little ...

  5. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Despite talk of reform, no sign of rebalancing in China's data

    Posted Jan 21st 2014, 01:05am by Tom Holland

    ... Tom Holland In contrast to Beijing's pledges, investment has played a bigger role in driving the economy while the share of private demand has diminished Despite talk of reform, no sign of rebalancing in China's data Yesterday Beijing's top bean-counters announced that the mainland economy grew 7.7 per cent last year in inflation-adjusted terms. That's ...

  6. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Zombie China assets threaten lenders

    Posted May 06th 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... those owed by their investment companies, hit 15 trillion yuan (HK$18.7 trillion) last year, or 29 per cent of China's gross domestic product. Paying those debts back, or even just meeting ... companies should they get into trouble. As a model, CIMB's analysts cite the example of Yunnan Road Development Investment Corp, which in 2011 warned lenders that it would not be able to repay ...

  7. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Declining property investment the key to China's slowdown

    Posted Sep 14th 2012, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... dragged heavily on overall growth. Capital Economics estimates that the decline in investment knocked 2.2 percentage points off China's second quarter growth rate. That means if there had ... five years. So while a rebound in investment now may support growth, it risks exacerbating the economic excesses and imbalances that China's policymakers should be working to eliminate. ...

  8. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    The US$50b a year reason China's elite love tax havens

    Posted Jan 23rd 2014, 01:13am by Tom Holland

    ... tax haven. And then you route the capital back into China, either directly or through Hong Kong, labelling it as foreign investment in order to collect your low-tax jackpot. The sums involved are huge. In 2012, the BVI, the Cayman Islands and Samoa- another tax haven- all made the top 10 list of the biggest sources of foreign direct investment into China. Of course, Hong Kong ...

  9. Business - Banking & Finance - MONITOR

    The encouraging signs behind China's record funding figures

    Posted Feb 17th 2014, 04:47am by Tom Holland

    ... behind China's record funding figures The trouble with economic statistics is that it is all too easy to see whatever you want to in the data. Take the monetary figures released by Beijing ... economic growth for the rest of 2014. On the other hand, if you fret that the mainland has become dependent on credit-fuelled investment to power growth, then you will see last month's surge ...

  10. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Stimulus or not, it's the quality of new investment that matters

    Posted Sep 11th 2012, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... of new investment that matters Last week Beijing approved 60 major new infrastructure projects together worth 1 trillion yuan (HK$1.22 trillion), or around 2 per cent of China's gross ... projects had been put on hold, and are now going ahead again, the investment will still help to support China's growth rate over the next couple of years. What's more important ...




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