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  • July 29, 2014
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  1. Business - Comment - MONITOR TOM HOLLAND

    Hu betrays muddled thinking about China's economic future

    Posted Nov 09th 2012, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... to get the point. In his speech yesterday he declared that "to make China's development much more balanced, co-ordinated and sustainable, we should double its 2010 GDP and per capita ... faster than company earnings are rising. The first option might sound counter-intuitive. In developed economies higher interest rates usually erode disposable incomes and suppress consumer ...

  2. Business - Comment - MONITOR TOM HOLLAND

    After such a long wait, policy address is bound to disappoint

    Posted Jan 15th 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... attempts to cut pollution have centred on offering partial subsidies to bus and truck companies to phase out old, more polluting vehicles, or giving incentives to shipping companies to switch to low-sulphur fuels. But incentives alone don't work. Covering 30 per cent of the cost is not enough to persuade a company to change. The government must also impose stiff penalties on those ...

  3. Business - Comment - MONITOR TOM HOLLAND

    Wrong about the stock market, right about government idiocy

    Posted Dec 18th 2012, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... companies listed in the city set to rise 19 per cent. With the euro zone sliding into recession, the United States' economy struggling and mainland China's growth slowing, I argued ... the H-share index of mainland companies has gained 14 per cent (see first chart). I had failed to foresee two things: the US Federal Reserve's new round of quantitative easing, which has pumped ...

  4. Business - Comment - MONITOR TOM HOLLAND

    Cyclically bullish on China's market but a structural bear

    Posted Jan 11th 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... for the United States stands at just 64 per cent. "This tells me that China is a massively leveraged economy," he says, warning that with too much money around, companies are investing far too ... which have already suffered their heart attacks and where companies have since cut investment back to the bone, looks relatively healthy. So although the A-share market rally should continue ...

  5. Business - Comment - MONITOR TOM HOLLAND

    Selling credit risk to bank depositors is a lousy idea

    Posted Dec 07th 2012, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... they seldom realise is that their savings are actually going to fund loans made by third party finance companies, usually to high risk ventures with no access to formal bank lending. In other words, ... That means the finance companies depend on issuing new products in order to repay the principal on their expiring notes, which of course is more or less how a Ponzi scheme works. The danger comes ...

  6. Business - Comment - MONITOR TOM HOLLAND

    Hong Kong's out-of-pocket medical expenses set to double by 2020

    Posted Dec 14th 2012, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... In a new projection, analysts at reinsurance company Swiss Re have tried to work out how the city's health care costs will change between now and 2020. They started by looking at Hong ... private health insurance. But there are problems with private insurance. For one thing, insurance companies prefer to sell policies to the young and healthy, who are less likely to run up heavy ...

  7. Business - Comment - MONITOR TOM HOLLAND

    Four more ways officials break the spirit of Hong Kong's Basic Law

    Posted Nov 23rd 2012, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... it will be hit with an extra 20 per cent tax on the sale. If you sell within a year, you will pay 15 per cent, and in less than three years, 10 per cent. In addition, all companies and any individuals ... discriminatory taxes on some people and on companies - legal persons in the jargon - the government is effectively restricting their freedom to buy and sell on equal terms with everyone else. ...

  8. Business - Comment - MONITOR TOM HOLLAND

    China now reaching the same levels of inequality as Johannesburg

    Posted Dec 11th 2012, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... to their land, forcing state companies to hand over more of their profits as dividends and investing the proceeds in social services, such as education and health care, would be a good start. Failure ...

  9. Business - Comment - MONITOR TOM HOLLAND

    Mainland buyers don't share enthusiasm for China shares

    Posted Nov 28th 2012, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... regulators have made repeated attempts to boost China's ailing markets. They have told investors that equities are a bargain, and pressed companies to buy their own stock, even allowing managers to offset the cost by paying employees in shares. They have restricted the supply of equities by holding back new issues. They have given insurance companies greater freedom to invest in the market. ...

  10. Business - Comment - MONITOR TOM HOLLAND

    Cautionary fable from 1994 holds good for China today

    Posted Nov 27th 2012, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... key to boosting efficiency is to "let failures fail". In other words, the government and banking system must stop supporting well-connected zombie companies with generous subsidies ...




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