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  • October 1, 2014
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  1. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    We don't need a Future Fund. The future is already upon us

    Posted Mar 05th 2014, 01:34am by Tom Holland

    ... reduce the capital available to finance relatively efficient private investment. As the private sector gets crowded out, growth slows. The result is a weaker economy. So constraining government ...

  2. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Who's more damaging, Hong Kong officials or Occupy Central?

    Posted Feb 25th 2014, 12:32am by Tom Holland

    ... But the stuff they buy is all imported. That means only a relatively small amount of visitors' retail spending- around 20 per cent according to Monitor 's 2013 estimate- actually contributes ... a possible price ticket on Occupy-related disruption that I've seen came up with a potential cost of HK$1.6 billion. That might sound like a lot to you or me. But it's peanuts compared ...

  3. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Neither Singapore nor Hong Kong is an Iceland waiting to happen

    Posted Feb 14th 2014, 12:42am by Tom Holland

    ... relative to local economic output since 2008, Hong Kong's have rocketed to nearly eight times GDP; higher even than Iceland's at the height of its financial bubble. People are fretting. ... about the risks of local banks' rising exposure to China. According to Fitch Ratings, mainland-related exposures have almost tripled since the financial crisis, reaching roughly 30 per cent ...

  4. Business - Economy - MONITOR

    Immigration and reclamation won't raise living standards

    Posted Feb 18th 2014, 04:34am by Tom Holland

    ... Singapore's gross domestic product per head grew at a robust average rate of 6 per cent a year. Over the same period, Hong Kong's per capita output expanded at a relatively meagre 4 per cent ...

  5. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    George Osborne is wrong about China and the yuan

    Posted Feb 21st 2014, 12:24am by Tom Holland

    ... and interest rate arbitrages. The yuan has been strengthening, so people and companies offshore have been happy to hold it. Similarly, in an era of low interest rates, yields on the yuan are relatively ...

  6. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Even an export rebound won't do much to lift China growth

    Posted Feb 13th 2014, 01:07am by Tom Holland

    ... large relative to the rest of the world that foreign demand now has a far smaller impact on overall output, and far less power to drive growth. From 36 per cent of gross domestic product in 2006, mainland exports have fallen steeply in relative terms to just 24 per cent of GDP last year. Similarly, the country's trade surplus, which is what contributes to headline output ...

  7. Business - Banking & Finance - MONITOR

    The encouraging signs behind China's record funding figures

    Posted Feb 17th 2014, 04:47am by Tom Holland

    ... for new financing was a record, in real terms, relative to the size of the overall economy, last month's figure represented a deceleration compared with January 2013. And if you take ...

  8. Business - Economy - MONITOR

    To continue growing, China will have to work a lot smarter

    Posted Feb 07th 2014, 05:17am by Tom Holland

    ... has slowed, decelerating from double-digit rates as recently as 2010 to a relatively modest 7.7 per cent last year. But the optimists believe that's about as low as the growth rate ...

  9. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    China may have problems, but this scare story isn't one of them

    Posted Feb 04th 2014, 05:57am by Tom Holland

    ... no such problems. External debt is small relative to GDP. And with US$3.82 trillion in foreign reserves at the end of last year, Beijing can cover China's near-term foreign liabilities more than three ... there would be no "global meltdown". Despite the opening of recent years, Beijing's controls on the free flow of capital mean China's financial sector remains relatively closed, ...

  10. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    The essential financial reform Beijing cannot afford to ignore

    Posted Jan 28th 2014, 01:27am by Tom Holland

    ... financing vehicles or LGFVs, were born. Things started in a relatively modest way, but from around 2005 onwards the pace of land seizures in rural areas picked up. Activity accelerated further ...




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