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  • July 23, 2014
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  1. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    The fatal flaw with internet currency

    Posted Jul 17th 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... Tom Holland The fatal flaw with internet currency Ever since the outbreak of the financial crisis in 2008, discontents have been searching for an alternative to the current international ... they have been cautious about allowing greater international use of their currency. In any case, to hard-core critics of the existing financial architecture, the yuan suffers from just the same ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1284271/fatal-flaw-internet-currency
  2. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    China may have problems, but this scare story isn't one of them

    Posted Feb 04th 2014, 05:57am by Tom Holland

    ... Tom Holland While alarmist talk of global meltdown sparked by a currency crisis at Chinese banks fires up doom merchants, the reality is more reassuring China may have problems, but this scare story isn't one of them As a headline, it was certainly eye-catching. "Currency crisis at Chinese banks could trigger global meltdown," declared a story in the Sunday ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1420190/china-may-have-problems-scare-story-isnt-one-them
  3. Business - Banking & Finance - MONITOR

    Four reasons the yuan will struggle to gain acceptance

    Posted Feb 06th 2014, 04:24am by Tom Holland

    ... Tom Holland Open and well-regulated markets, transparent governance and solid banking system needed for Chinese currency’s rise to dominance Four reasons the yuan will struggle to gain acceptance Talk to financiers in Hong Kong and you will get the impression that it is the manifest destiny of China's yuan to displace the US dollar as the world's dominant currency ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/banking-finance/article/1421684/four-reasons-yuan-will-struggle-gain-acceptance
  4. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    What bank research reports don't tell you about the yuan

    Posted Aug 23rd 2012, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... reserve currency popped into my e-mail inbox yesterday. I've been sent dozens of these in recent months. The standard of the analysis varies widely, and their length ranges from a few pages ... that in the past the yuan has been little used outside China. But with faith in the US dollar shaken by the 2008 financial crisis, and with Beijing now actively promoting the yuan for international trade ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1021278/what-bank-research-reports-dont-tell-you-about-yuan
  5. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Iceland's harsh cure would be a better medicine for Cyprus

    Posted Mar 26th 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... Tom Holland Volcano island survives after its economy shrank thanks to capital controls and a devalued currency – but it wasn't a member of the euro Iceland's harsh cure would be a better medicine for Cyprus A week after the European Union's first disastrous attempt to solve Cyprus's debt crisis, a new rescue package emerged yesterday. Unlike the initial bailout, ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1199707/icelands-harsh-cure-would-be-better-medicine-cyprus
  6. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    A Singapore-style system just wouldn't work in Hong Kong

    Posted Oct 17th 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... Tom Holland The city state's managed currency float has worked for it in the past, but its performance since the financial crisis has not been spectacular A Singapore-style system ... should peg its currency to the yuan. Although he accepted that a yuan peg would be a non-starter, he pointed out that Hong Kong's current peg to the US dollar or a link to the mainland ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1333195/singapore-style-system-just-wouldnt-work-hong-kong
  7. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    By avoiding a small crisis now China risks a big one in future

    Posted Jan 29th 2014, 05:02am by Tom Holland

    ... Tom Holland With the trust product bailout, Beijing gives the green light to expansion of the shadow financial system instead of acting to let market price risk By avoiding a small crisis ... but manageable debt crisis soon; or they do not, and have a massive national debt crisis in a few years time." Unfortunately the authorities have made the wrong choice. In throwing a lifeline ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1416112/avoiding-small-crisis-now-china-risks-big-one-future
  8. Business - Banking & Finance - MONITOR

    The encouraging signs behind China's record funding figures

    Posted Feb 17th 2014, 04:47am by Tom Holland

    ... Tom Holland January's data in fact underscores the tightening trend on the mainland, which will help avert the danger of a full-blown crisis in future years The encouraging signs ... on Saturday. The bald numbers tell us that mainland banks last month made local and foreign-currency loans worth 1.48 trillion yuan (HK$1.9 trillion). That's the highest monthly lending figure ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/banking-finance/article/1429144/encouraging-signs-behind-chinas-record-funding-figures
  9. Business - Economy - MONITOR

    The yuan is falling, but only because Beijing wants it to

    Posted Mar 03rd 2014, 02:59am by Tom Holland

    ... Tom Holland Despite talk of a greater role for market forces, the currency is still far from freely floating with constant interventions from the central bank The yuan is falling, but only because Beijing wants it to It is hard to fathom quite why so many people have been surprised by the recent fall in the value of the yuan. Over the past couple of weeks, the mainland currency has ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/economy/article/1438811/yuan-falling-only-because-beijing-wants-it
  10. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Fears over a 'tail risk' hard landing in China are growing

    Posted Feb 20th 2014, 01:10am by Tom Holland

    ... inches to foreign bank economists worried about the dangers posed by China's ballooning debt levels. As a crisis prevention measure, that's like thinking you can eliminate the threat ... for a crisis or two in emerging markets," he warned. Also this week, economist Wang Tao and her colleagues at Swiss bank UBS pointed out that Hong Kong is particularly vulnerable to a Chinese ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1431315/fears-over-tail-risk-hard-landing-china-are-growing

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