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  • April 19, 2014
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  1. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    The fatal flaw with internet currency

    Posted Jul 17th 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... Tom Holland The fatal flaw with internet currency Ever since the outbreak of the financial crisis in 2008, discontents have been searching for an alternative to the current international ... they have been cautious about allowing greater international use of their currency. In any case, to hard-core critics of the existing financial architecture, the yuan suffers from just the same ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1284271/fatal-flaw-internet-currency
  2. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    China may have problems, but this scare story isn't one of them

    Posted Feb 04th 2014, 05:57am by Tom Holland

    ... Tom Holland While alarmist talk of global meltdown sparked by a currency crisis at Chinese banks fires up doom merchants, the reality is more reassuring China may have problems, but this scare story isn't one of them As a headline, it was certainly eye-catching. "Currency crisis at Chinese banks could trigger global meltdown," declared a story in the Sunday ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1420190/china-may-have-problems-scare-story-isnt-one-them
  3. Business - Banking & Finance - MONITOR

    Four reasons the yuan will struggle to gain acceptance

    Posted Feb 06th 2014, 04:24am by Tom Holland

    ... Tom Holland Open and well-regulated markets, transparent governance and solid banking system needed for Chinese currency’s rise to dominance Four reasons the yuan will struggle to gain acceptance Talk to financiers in Hong Kong and you will get the impression that it is the manifest destiny of China's yuan to displace the US dollar as the world's dominant currency ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/banking-finance/article/1421684/four-reasons-yuan-will-struggle-gain-acceptance
  4. Business - Economy - MONITOR

    The yuan is falling, but only because Beijing wants it to

    Posted Mar 03rd 2014, 02:59am by Tom Holland

    ... Tom Holland Despite talk of a greater role for market forces, the currency is still far from freely floating with constant interventions from the central bank The yuan is falling, but only because Beijing wants it to It is hard to fathom quite why so many people have been surprised by the recent fall in the value of the yuan. Over the past couple of weeks, the mainland currency has ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/economy/article/1438811/yuan-falling-only-because-beijing-wants-it
  5. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    By avoiding a small crisis now China risks a big one in future

    Posted Jan 29th 2014, 05:02am by Tom Holland

    ... Tom Holland With the trust product bailout, Beijing gives the green light to expansion of the shadow financial system instead of acting to let market price risk By avoiding a small crisis ... but manageable debt crisis soon; or they do not, and have a massive national debt crisis in a few years time." Unfortunately the authorities have made the wrong choice. In throwing a lifeline ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1416112/avoiding-small-crisis-now-china-risks-big-one-future
  6. Business - Banking & Finance - MONITOR

    The encouraging signs behind China's record funding figures

    Posted Feb 17th 2014, 04:47am by Tom Holland

    ... Tom Holland January's data in fact underscores the tightening trend on the mainland, which will help avert the danger of a full-blown crisis in future years The encouraging signs ... on Saturday. The bald numbers tell us that mainland banks last month made local and foreign-currency loans worth 1.48 trillion yuan (HK$1.9 trillion). That's the highest monthly lending figure ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/banking-finance/article/1429144/encouraging-signs-behind-chinas-record-funding-figures
  7. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Fears over a 'tail risk' hard landing in China are growing

    Posted Feb 20th 2014, 01:10am by Tom Holland

    ... inches to foreign bank economists worried about the dangers posed by China's ballooning debt levels. As a crisis prevention measure, that's like thinking you can eliminate the threat ... for a crisis or two in emerging markets," he warned. Also this week, economist Wang Tao and her colleagues at Swiss bank UBS pointed out that Hong Kong is particularly vulnerable to a Chinese ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1431315/fears-over-tail-risk-hard-landing-china-are-growing
  8. Business - Economy - MONITOR

    Continued yuan appreciation is no longer such a sure thing

    Posted Feb 10th 2014, 04:31am by Tom Holland

    ... Tom Holland It looks likely that one day the yuan will become too strong for China's economy to bear and will lead to a depreciation of the currency Continued yuan appreciation is no longer such a sure thing In an age of uncertainty, one of the few apparently safe bets has been that China's currency, the yuan, will continue to appreciate in value. After all, despite ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/economy/article/1424660/continued-yuan-appreciation-no-longer-such-sure-thing
  9. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Even an export rebound won't do much to lift China growth

    Posted Feb 13th 2014, 01:07am by Tom Holland

    ... export growth to power the country's economic expansion to the extent it did in the years before the financial crisis. The world has changed in the past five years. The developed markets may ... of the export growth in the early 2000s was driven by exporters taking a bigger slice of the developed-markets pie. Now following heady wage rises and steep currency appreciation, mainland goods ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1426699/even-export-rebound-wont-do-much-lift-china-growth
  10. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    George Osborne is wrong about China and the yuan

    Posted Feb 21st 2014, 12:24am by Tom Holland

    ... Tom Holland British chancellor is keen to see the yuan used as an international currency, but China's trade surplus will be a major stumbling block George Osborne is wrong about China ... want to see is [the yuan] being used more and more as a currency of choice in the world". Yes, the yuan has gained ground recently as a currency for trade settlement (although if you strip ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1432166/george-osborne-wrong-about-china-and-yuan

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