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  • September 17, 2014
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  1. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    All is not what it seems when it comes to China's trade figures

    Posted Jan 09th 2014, 11:51pm by Tom Holland

    ... that its economy is only about half the size of America's. According to customs data, over the 12 months to November, China's gross trade with the rest of the world- exports plus imports- ... of payments data combining the trade in both goods and services, a different picture emerges. According to this measure, in the first half of last year, China's trade with the rest of the world ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1401758/all-not-what-it-seems-when-it-comes-chinas-trade-figures
  2. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Beijing's financial reforms will push up interest rates

    Posted Jan 16th 2014, 11:41pm by Tom Holland

    ... scrapped its minimum lending rates, in theory allowing banks complete freedom to set interest rates on loans to commercial customers. Then last month the People's Bank of China allowed ... guarantees are eliminated will lenders be able to assess credit risk accurately and price loans accordingly. As a result, some private sector businesses, especially service sector companies which ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1407148/beijings-financial-reforms-will-push-interest-rates
  3. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Global enthusiasm for yuan overstated

    Posted Dec 13th 2013, 04:30am by Tom Holland

    ... to a record 782 billion yuan (HK$992 billion). According to transaction services company Swift, the yuan's share of global trade finance has shot up 357 per cent since the beginning of last year, overtaking the euro. After 10 years the currency is still struggling to make real headway in global markets And according to customs data, China, the world's biggest exporter, settled ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1379301/global-enthusiasm-yuan-overstated
  4. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    After nine years, it's time to leave the stage

    Posted Mar 06th 2014, 12:25am by Tom Holland

    ... Kong's public finances. The city's fiscal position was unsustainable, they warned, arguing the only way to balance the books would be to impose a goods and services tax. Public opinion ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1441327/after-nine-years-its-time-leave-stage
  5. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Fiscal report based on lunatic projection of capital spending

    Posted Mar 04th 2014, 05:09am by Tom Holland

    ... which assumes no improvements in services, the government will have burned through its accumulated reserves by 2040, and will be reliant on borrowing to fill the HK$271 billion hole in its ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1439605/fiscal-report-based-lunatic-projection-capital-spending
  6. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Tsang's vision of Hong Kong's future is severely out of focus

    Posted Feb 27th 2014, 01:23am by Tom Holland

    ... education, welfare and health services, the financial secretary warned we will be plunged into "a structural deficit" in just seven years. Even if the government were to freeze real per ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1435878/tsangs-vision-hong-kongs-future-severely-out-focus
  7. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Even an export rebound won't do much to lift China growth

    Posted Feb 13th 2014, 01:07am by Tom Holland

    ... as significant as many of the responses implied. What really threw the analytical community was the publication of customs figures showing mainland exports were up 10.6 per cent last month compared ... have put the worst behind them, but with less leverage around and a lot of painful restructuring still to come, the mainland's biggest export customers are not going to grow nearly ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1426699/even-export-rebound-wont-do-much-lift-china-growth
  8. Business - Economy - MONITOR

    Immigration and reclamation won't raise living standards

    Posted Feb 18th 2014, 04:34am by Tom Holland

    ... of non-traded goods and services, like housing. As Monitor has pointed out before, if you look at real GDP per capita in local currency terms, you find that Hong Kong has averaged a 3.9 per cent growth ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/economy/article/1429854/immigration-and-reclamation-wont-raise-living-standards
  9. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    To boost business, WTO must ditch 'all or nothing' approach

    Posted Dec 12th 2013, 03:12am by Tom Holland

    ... the costs of international trade by cutting red tape and standardising and streamlining customs procedures, should yield significant benefits. Victor Fung, honorary chairman of Hong Kong supply ... to be negotiated multilaterally among all members. But the economic rewards from pursuing plurilateral deals on, for example, trade in services or in green technologies, would be enormous. And that way we ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1378473/boost-business-wto-must-ditch-all-or-nothing-approach
  10. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    By avoiding a small crisis now China risks a big one in future

    Posted Jan 29th 2014, 05:02am by Tom Holland

    ... investors their principal and avoid a default. Market participants point the finger at various suspects: ICBC, which sold the Credit Equals Gold notes to its customers; Huarong Asset Management, ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1416112/avoiding-small-crisis-now-china-risks-big-one-future

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