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  • September 21, 2014
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  1. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Asia is steaming towards a debt crisis all of its own

    Posted Oct 24th 2013, 02:59am by Tom Holland

    ... Tom Holland With the level of private sector debt hitting new highs in China, South Korea and Thailand, there is no room for complacency Asia is steaming towards a debt crisis all of its ... markets elsewhere- are heading towards a nasty debt crisis all of their own. In recent years the level of private sector debt has hit new highs in several East Asian countries. In China, South ...

  2. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    A good time to sell Hong Kong's family-owned banks as China's bad debt swells

    Posted Oct 25th 2013, 03:13am by Tom Holland

    ... Tom Holland With mainland growth slowing and a debt crisis mounting, it looks like an opportune time for shareholders to quit the family business It's a good time to sell HK's ... are forecasting a deep correction in the Hong Kong property market, with prices falling 20 per cent or more. At the same time, China's growth is slowing and fears of a mainland debt crisis ...

  3. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Despite default risk, Beijing is stuck with US Treasury debt

    Posted Oct 16th 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... Tom Holland None of the diversification options – commodities, foreign equities and property and debt of other big sovereign borrowers – look attractive Despite default risk, Beijing is stuck with US Treasury debt The international flap over US debt ceiling negotiations is causing disquiet in Beijing. The chances that Washington will actually default on US Treasury bills ...

  4. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Asia can relax; there is small chance of a US debt default

    Posted Oct 09th 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... Tom Holland Washington will have no problem repaying its loans, given the tax revenues it will be getting and its ability to roll over maturing debt Asia can relax; there is small chance of a US debt default In these divided days, it might seem that nothing can bring the leaders of China and Japan together. But American politicians have achieved the near-impossible. ...

  5. Business - China Business - MONITOR

    Don't expect answer from China local government debt audit

    Posted Aug 02nd 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... answer from local government audit The announcement last Sunday that China is to conduct an urgent audit of local government debt shocked markets, triggering a 1.7 per cent fall in the Shanghai ... government debt outstanding," commented credit rating agency Moody's Investors Service. "A comprehensive audit would be welcome in clarifying the magnitude of the local government debt ...

  6. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Why the HKMA should fret over consumer debt

    Posted May 07th 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... fret over consumer debt Only last week my esteemed colleague Jake van der Kamp was complaining that there is altogether too much consensus among the Business Post's columnists. ... of trying to live beyond their means. Among other things, Chan is worried that private consumption is growing faster than incomes, and that the city's level of household debt is rising, ...

  7. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Zombie China assets threaten lenders

    Posted May 06th 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... government debt crisis Last month Zhang Ke, the boss of accounting firm ShineWing, gave voice to fears shared by an increasing number of people. China's local government debts were "out of control", he told the Financial Times newspaper, and warned of a looming crisis. What's got Zhang running scared is not the debts owed directly by China's municipal authorities, but rather ...

  8. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Iceland's harsh cure would be a better medicine for Cyprus

    Posted Mar 26th 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... be a better medicine for Cyprus A week after the European Union's first disastrous attempt to solve Cyprus's debt crisis, a new rescue package emerged yesterday. Unlike the initial bailout, ... there is a very real risk that the island's economy is heading for a contraction so deep and protracted that Cypriots will actually see their debt to GDP levels increase sharply, not decline, ...

  9. Business - Economy - MONITOR

    Beijing sets irreconcilable economic targets for 2014

    Posted Dec 16th 2013, 04:28am by Tom Holland

    ... Tom Holland Much needed reforms will slow down the economy, so a pledge of stable growth is at odds with priorities of tackling debt and overcapacity Beijing sets irreconcilable economic ... leaders stressed the need to press ahead with key reforms next year, pledging to "focus on debt risk prevention" and on "resolving the overcapacity problem". This is where ...

  10. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    By avoiding a small crisis now China risks a big one in future

    Posted Jan 29th 2014, 05:02am by Tom Holland

    ... Lombard Street Research, neatly summarises the threat. At the end of 2012 China's total debt equalled 213 per cent of gross domestic product, high for a developing economy but "just ... but manageable debt crisis soon; or they do not, and have a massive national debt crisis in a few years time." Unfortunately the authorities have made the wrong choice. In throwing a lifeline ...




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