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  • September 20, 2014
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  1. Business - Economy - MONITOR

    Occupy Central is no threat to Hong Kong's economy

    Posted Nov 28th 2013, 04:17am by Tom Holland

    ... to Hong Kong's economy Students sitting in the streets; lots of colourful banners; some noisy chanting with people banging gongs; a sprinkling of jugglers, mime artists and the like; a few ... movement's detractors say that it will be: a threat to Hong Kong's reputation as an international financial centre and damaging to the city's economy. Hong Kong's position ...

  2. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Province-sized hole in GDP figures from Beijing is likely to be hiding good news

    Posted Feb 15th 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... you come up with an even mightier 57.6 trillion yuan. That is a discrepancy of 5.7 trillion yuan, or roughly the economic output of Guangdong, hence the talk of a missing province. ... to publish whole-year 2012 GDP figures for the mainland, with all its vast and diverse economy, by January 18. Tiny, intensively measured Hong Kong will not manage to announce GDP numbers for last ...

  3. Comment - Insight & Opinion - MONITOR

    A property slump will affect the whole of Hong Kong's economy

    Posted Jul 18th 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... Tom Holland A property slump will affect the whole of HK's economy Last week Monitor argued that the gradual tapering of quantitative easing and the eventual increase in American ... other sectors of Hong Kong's domestic economy. First of all, a property bear market will erode consumer demand. With residential mortgage debt currently standing at 46 per cent of Hong ...

  4. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Look out your window for evidence of strong growth

    Posted Oct 19th 2012, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... for evidence of strong growth The interesting thing about the data released yesterday was that it showed not how weak China's economy is, but how strong. Interesting, but not surprising; you can ... of the border from the great industrial concentration in Guangdong. The stronger economic activity in Guangdong is, the more pollution rolls down. The marginal sources of power that get switched ...

  5. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    After nine years, it's time to leave the stage

    Posted Mar 06th 2014, 12:25am by Tom Holland

    ... average. Within weeks the hapless Tung had stepped down, and today, two chiefs later, those hard times seem a distant memory. In the years since, Hong Kong's economy has grown by more than 40 ... those on the mainland, where many of the cities have altered almost beyond recognition. Nine years ago, China's economy ranked seventh in the world; smaller than Italy's. Today ...

  6. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Fiscal report based on lunatic projection of capital spending

    Posted Mar 04th 2014, 05:09am by Tom Holland

    ... shrinks, the economy's growth rate will slow from 3.7 per cent now to a modest 2.5 per cent a year. And as economic growth slows, so- all else being equal- will the government's revenue ... a slowdown in the growth of Hong Kong's capital spending as the economy matures, the report assumes that public spending on capital works will rise from 3.2 per cent of gross domestic product ...

  7. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Hong Kong just following mainland in rejection of transparency

    Posted Feb 20th 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... including Guangdong, have slapped restrictions on public searches of local property registers. The ban follows a spate of media reports about bureaucrats acquiring multiple properties with values ...

  8. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Who's more damaging, Hong Kong officials or Occupy Central?

    Posted Feb 25th 2014, 12:32am by Tom Holland

    ... to Hong Kong's economy. In any case, considering that Hong Kong isn't exactly short of shopping centres and that Occupy couldn't hope to obstruct access to more than a handful even ... economy by the government's insistence on raising more in revenues than it needs to fund its spending programmes. So if Hong Kong's editors are really worried about the damage being ...

  9. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Claims China is world's No 1 trading economy are nonsense

    Posted Feb 14th 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... is world'sNo1trading economy are nonsense If you believe the media reports, China passed another milestone last year, overtaking the United States to become the world's biggest trading economy. According ... much of China's international commerce consists of processing trade. High-value components from developed economies get imported, bolted together by low-paid workers in China's ...

  10. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    We don't need a Future Fund. The future is already upon us

    Posted Mar 05th 2014, 01:34am by Tom Holland

    ... reduce the capital available to finance relatively efficient private investment. As the private sector gets crowded out, growth slows. The result is a weaker economy. So constraining government ...




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