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  1. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    True size of Beijing's deficit matches Japan's black hole

    Posted Jun 12th 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... matches Japan's black hole Most analysts, when they look at the economic challenges facing China, end up noting that no matter how daunting the problems, Beijing enjoys a far healthier budget balance than the governments of the world's other major economies. Unfortunately, the Chinese government's fiscal position may not be quite as enviable as they believe. At first glance, ...

  2. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    After a stellar start, Japan's 'Abenomics' faces dim future

    Posted May 17th 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... Then yesterday, Tokyo announced that Japan's economy grew by 0.9 per cent in the first quarter of the year. That might not sound like much, but it translates into an annualised 3.5 per cent rate, which is well above Japan's 20-year average of 0.9 per cent and fast enough to make Japan the fastest growing of all the world's major developed economies. Even better, by far ...

  3. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    China's fury at Bank of Japan 'blackmail' makes zero sense

    Posted Apr 08th 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... Tom Holland Outrage over Japan's efforts to kick-start its moribund economy gives lie to Beijing's insistence that it doesn't undervalue its own currency China's fury ... although Chinese economists are focused on the yen, the BoJ's objective is not to devalue the yen, but to reflate Japan's domestic economy. And in aiming for a 2 per cent inflation ...

  4. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    To get rich, poor states must ignore the Washington rule book

    Posted Jun 13th 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... and Taiwan, it divides the region into two distinct economic zones. To the north, Japan, South Korea and Taiwan - three places that long ago achieved developed-country wealth levels. More recently, ... and protectionist, approach. In Japan, Korea and Taiwan post-war governments rode roughshod over property rights, redistributing farmland in order to maximise output from their underemployed rural ...

  5. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Davos talk of new currency war is wildly exaggerated

    Posted Jan 28th 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... Tom Holland Worries about the Bank of Japan's money-printing efforts to breathe inflationary life into the country's economy are highly overblown Davos talk of new currency war ... however, it is neither China nor the United States at the centre of the global slanging match, but Japan. In a bid to revitalise the country's ailing economy, the Bank of Japan announced last ...

  6. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Hong Kong's 'slowdown' is not the threat it seems

    Posted May 13th 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... Tom Holland GDP and inflation figures paint a dire picture of the city's situation, but the real economy is far more robust than the deceptive data suggests Hong Kong's 'slowdown' is not the threat it seems The front page of Saturday's South China Morning Post made sobering reading. Apparently Hong Kong's economy is slowing, even as inflation is mounting. ...

  7. Business - Economy - MONITOR

    Occupy Central is no threat to Hong Kong's economy

    Posted Nov 28th 2013, 04:17am by Tom Holland

    ... to Hong Kong's economy Students sitting in the streets; lots of colourful banners; some noisy chanting with people banging gongs; a sprinkling of jugglers, mime artists and the like; a few ... movement's detractors say that it will be: a threat to Hong Kong's reputation as an international financial centre and damaging to the city's economy. Hong Kong's position ...

  8. Business - Banking & Finance - MONITOR

    Four reasons the yuan will struggle to gain acceptance

    Posted Feb 06th 2014, 04:24am by Tom Holland

    ... It didn't last. Financial liberalisation inflated Japan's bubble economy, leading to a bust and a crippling balance sheet recession. The yen's slice of global markets fell by a third, its ... probably within the next decade or two. You can see why they think so. The fast growth of China's economy, its ascent as a trading power, the rapid spread of the yuan as a trade currency ...

  9. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Fears growing about Chinese credit bubble

    Posted Apr 11th 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... credit bubble On Tuesday, credit agency Fitch downgraded China's local-currency rating from AA-minus to A-plus. That demotes the creditworthiness of China to the level of Japan, where total gross debt now exceeds 450 per cent of gross domestic product and the central bank is busy printing money in a desperate attempt to revitalise the economy. "Risks over China's ...

  10. Comment - Insight & Opinion - MONITOR

    A property slump will affect the whole of Hong Kong's economy

    Posted Jul 18th 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... Tom Holland A property slump will affect the whole of HK's economy Last week Monitor argued that the gradual tapering of quantitative easing and the eventual increase in American ... other sectors of Hong Kong's domestic economy. First of all, a property bear market will erode consumer demand. With residential mortgage debt currently standing at 46 per cent of Hong ...




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