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  • November 1, 2014
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  1. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Allowing free capital flows is fast going out of fashion

    Posted Sep 27th 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... Tom Holland The world is increasingly moving away from economic orthodoxy and accepting that capital controls are necessary to contain hot money Allowing free capital flows is fast going out of fashion Hopes are high that when Premier Li Keqiang launches Shanghai's new free-trade zone this weekend, he will announce a major opening up of the mainland's financial ...

  2. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Who's more damaging, Hong Kong officials or Occupy Central?

    Posted Feb 25th 2014, 12:32am by Tom Holland

    ... But the stuff they buy is all imported. That means only a relatively small amount of visitors' retail spending- around 20 per cent according to Monitor 's 2013 estimate- actually contributes ...

  3. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Even Hong Kong's best efforts may not help to clear our air

    Posted Feb 12th 2014, 12:46am by Tom Holland

    ... hydroelectric stations, including the giant Three Gorges project, and 80 per cent the old-fashioned way by burning coal. It is true that Beijing has invested heavily in clean-energy sources like solar ...

  4. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Fears over a 'tail risk' hard landing in China are growing

    Posted Feb 20th 2014, 01:10am by Tom Holland

    ... slowdown. Mainland visitors account for 30 per cent of the city's retail sales, they noted, while exposure to China makes up almost 20 per cent of the local banking system's assets. ...

  5. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Despite talk of reform, no sign of rebalancing in China's data

    Posted Jan 21st 2014, 01:05am by Tom Holland

    ... At the same time, retail sales grew 13.1 per cent in nominal terms. Adjusting for consumer inflation, that gives a real increase of a little over 10 per cent. Admittedly, a headline figure for fixed-asset investment is not a great proxy for the fixed-investment component of GDP. For one thing it includes land sales, which shouldn't count towards capital formation. Similarly, retail ...

  6. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    China graft probe looks more like a 'petro purge' than an assault on sleaze

    Posted Sep 04th 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... themselves, their families and their friends. Although Beijing has liberalised much of the country's "downstream" economy- light manufacturing, retailing and the like- Beijing retains ... looks a lot like an old-fashioned political purge, with the newly installed leadership using corruption charges as a weapon to eliminate an opposition faction within the power structure. ...

  7. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Five years later, what has the mini-bond scandal taught us?

    Posted Sep 18th 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... they were credit-linked notes assembled using complex derivatives. Most developed markets prohibit the sale of these notes to retail investors. But in Hong Kong's more relaxed regulatory ... risks in the expectation of higher returns. Mini-bonds themselves may have gone out of fashion, but both structured notes and credit derivatives still find ready markets. According to the Bank ...

  8. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Crystal ball was cloudy last year, but it had its moments

    Posted Jan 03rd 2014, 01:48am by Tom Holland

    ... of the target. Far more fun is shooting an old-fashioned longbow at a target several hundred metres away. Scoring a hit is almost impossible. Even to come close you have to aim up at 45 degrees, which ...

  9. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    China not the all-conquering trade power figures suggest

    Posted Dec 19th 2013, 12:12am by Tom Holland

    ... a more accurate picture, still showing China to be a front-rank trading economy, but hardly the all-conquering power that old-fashioned measurement techniques suggest. tom.holland@scmp.com ...

  10. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Shareholders must have right to hold managers to account

    Posted Oct 28th 2013, 04:32am by Tom Holland

    ... that amid all the current kerfuffle over Alibaba and its proposed Hong Kong listing. Alibaba, the mainland's internet retail giant, is being pushed to go public by a line-up of private equity ... of American adults own shares directly as retail investors. According to the Hong Kong stock exchange, here the proportion is 36 per cent. So it's all very well for US regulators to say ...




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