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  • September 19, 2014
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  1. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    The essential financial reform Beijing cannot afford to ignore

    Posted Jan 28th 2014, 01:27am by Tom Holland

    ... Tom Holland Abolition of a mainland agricultural tax boosted farming a decade ago, but also helped to create a massive local government debt pile The essential financial reform Beijing ... rate, growing almost fourfold in real terms during Hu's time in power. But following the upheavals of the late 1990s, when Beijing drastically pruned back state-owned industries, cutting ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1415294/essential-financial-reform-beijing-cannot-afford-ignore
  2. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Beijing's financial reforms will push up interest rates

    Posted Jan 16th 2014, 11:41pm by Tom Holland

    ... Tom Holland The mainland's plan to let market forces set lending costs and allocate credit will be worth it despite the pain endured by some, like state firms Beijing's financial ... the allocation of credit away from overinvested state industries towards resource-starved service companies in the private sector. In other words, moving towards market-determined interest rates ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1407148/beijings-financial-reforms-will-push-interest-rates
  3. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    To kill a promising new industry, just subsidise it

    Posted May 10th 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... Tom Holland When it comes to the mainland's massive solar panel assistance, everyone loses, including the domestic producers facing debt defaults To kill a promising new industry ... available in China. According to Usha Haley, co-author of a newly published book Subsidies to Chinese Industry, state banks in China were prepared to fund up to two-thirds of solar companies' ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1233984/kill-promising-new-industry-just-subsidise-it
  4. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    The 4.3tr yuan cost of financial openness

    Posted Oct 01st 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... of financial openness This column has argued ad nauseam that anyone who expects China to open up to free flows of cross-border capital will have a long wait. But before I shut up on the topic, ... outflow could reach 9 trillion yuan, or 18 per cent of China's GDP. However, you don't have to accept my back-of-a-napkin sums. The financial boffins at the IMF have spent far more time ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1321681/43tr-yuan-cost-financial-openness
  5. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    So much for talk about a shift in financial power to the East

    Posted Aug 26th 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... a shift in financial power to the East Over the last few years there has been a lot of talk about a shift eastwards in the world's economic centre of gravity and the emergence of China as an engine of global growth. But as the abrupt sell-off in Asian stocks, bonds and currencies over the last few weeks demonstrates, when it comes to the interface between financial markets ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1299394/so-much-talk-about-shift-financial-power-east
  6. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    China's excess of industrial capacity nears danger level

    Posted Sep 24th 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... of industrial capacity nears danger level When China announced a massive stimulus programme in late 2008, the intention was to boost economic growth in the short term by investing in the infrastructure ... of industrial capacity so great that its elimination will suppress growth for years to come. Back in November 2008, Beijing reacted to the collapse of global demand following the implosion of Lehman ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1316277/chinas-excess-industrial-capacity-nears-danger-level
  7. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Look out your window for evidence of strong growth

    Posted Oct 19th 2012, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... when the world was in the depths of the financial crisis. Put like that, yesterday's figures might sound alarming. Happily, there is no need to panic. The picture is not as gloomy ... projects. Other figures support this view. For example, industrial production was up a robust 9.2 per cent in September compared with the same month in 2011, an acceleration from August's ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1064344/look-out-your-window-evidence-strong-growth
  8. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Irrational financial markets disprove wisdom of crowds

    Posted Jun 14th 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... should take a look at what has been going on in the financial markets. A market, after all, is made up of a crowd of investors, and its price fluctuations represent swings in the aggregate ... is not rational, let alone wise. Just consider what has been happening recently in Asia's financial markets. Yesterday, Hong Kong's benchmark Hang Seng Index dropped by 2.2 per cent, bringing its ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1260239/irrational-financial-markets-disprove-wisdom-crowds
  9. Business - China Business - MONITOR

    It's tough, but China must let trust company products fail

    Posted Jan 27th 2014, 04:23am by Tom Holland

    ... Tom Holland If the troubled trust which matures this week is bailed out, it will set back the cause of financial reform and magnify mainland moral hazard It's tough, but China must let trust company products fail The 700 investors in China's "Credit Equals Gold No1 Trust" are hoping that Industrial and Commercial Bank of China will bail them out. ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/china-business/article/1414377/its-tough-china-must-let-trust-company-products-fail
  10. Business - Economy - MONITOR

    To continue growing, China will have to work a lot smarter

    Posted Feb 07th 2014, 05:17am by Tom Holland

    ... on credit-fuelled investment by local governments and state industries and a good deal more reliant on private service sector businesses. Where they diverge is on how smoothly reform will proceed, and the impact rebalancing will have on growth. The optimists believe that the planned opening of state-dominated areas of the economy to the private sector, coupled with financial liberalisation, ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/economy/article/1422434/continue-growing-china-will-have-work-lot-smarter

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