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  • October 23, 2014
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  1. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    China may have problems, but this scare story isn't one of them

    Posted Feb 04th 2014, 05:57am by Tom Holland

    ... edition of London's Daily Telegraph. The article noted nervously that foreign currency borrowing by Chinese companies has almost quadrupled in just four years to more than US$1 trillion. Any ... be no danger of a global financial meltdown. It is certainly true that China's foreign liabilities have grown rapidly in recent years; a quadrupling since 2009 is about right. But, if anything, ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1420190/china-may-have-problems-scare-story-isnt-one-them
  2. Business - Economy - MONITOR

    The yuan is falling, but only because Beijing wants it to

    Posted Mar 03rd 2014, 02:59am by Tom Holland

    ... January alone, companies and households in the onshore market sold enough foreign currency to buy an astonishing 460 billion yuan (HK$582 billion). To put the size of that flow into perspective, ... intervene in sufficient volume to prevent the yuan from appreciating under the pressure of the inflows. But if it does, it will continue to accumulate foreign-currency assets like US Treasury bonds, ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/economy/article/1438811/yuan-falling-only-because-beijing-wants-it
  3. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Who's more damaging, Hong Kong officials or Occupy Central?

    Posted Feb 25th 2014, 12:32am by Tom Holland

    ... inconvenience. Next, there is the threat that Occupy could scare off foreign investors. This is ludicrous. Far from relying on foreign investment, Hong Kong is a sizeable net capital exporter. Sure, ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1434352/whos-more-damaging-hong-kong-officials-or-occupy-central
  4. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    A nice idea Mr Yam, but it will be a long time before it can fly

    Posted Feb 19th 2014, 01:27am by Tom Holland

    ... the country's financial system gets enormous net inflows of foreign money. Normally all that cash pouring in would push the yuan sharply higher on the foreign exchange market. However, to prevent runaway appreciation, the PBOC intervenes heavily in the market, buying foreign currency and selling yuan. Selling all that yuan would naturally tend to boost China's money supply, ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1430637/nice-idea-mr-yam-it-will-be-long-time-it-can-fly
  5. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    The US$50b a year reason China's elite love tax havens

    Posted Jan 23rd 2014, 01:13am by Tom Holland

    ... Tom Holland Taking the money out is just the first step; it's all about sending it back under the guise of foreign investment and enjoying the taxman’s largesse The US$50b a year ... trading on the influence of their high-ranking relations. And the best way of evading tax is by pretending your money is really foreign investment. Unlike Chinese-owned capital- say the proceeds ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1411288/us50b-year-reason-chinas-elite-love-tax-havens
  6. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Fears over a 'tail risk' hard landing in China are growing

    Posted Feb 20th 2014, 01:10am by Tom Holland

    ... inches to foreign bank economists worried about the dangers posed by China's ballooning debt levels. As a crisis prevention measure, that's like thinking you can eliminate the threat ... 90 per cent of Mongolia's exports bought by China, but in recent years the country has seen a massive boom in credit funded by foreign capital inflows; inflows which would quickly vanish ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1431315/fears-over-tail-risk-hard-landing-china-are-growing
  7. Business - Banking & Finance - MONITOR

    Four reasons the yuan will struggle to gain acceptance

    Posted Feb 06th 2014, 04:24am by Tom Holland

    ... in central bank portfolios of foreign reserves. Yet despite these advantages, the mark's progress stalled. Part of the problem was that although Germany's trade prowess was undoubted, its ... international trade network. It must have deep, sophisticated and well regulated capital markets, which are freely open to foreign participants. It must have a credible and transparent governance ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/banking-finance/article/1421684/four-reasons-yuan-will-struggle-gain-acceptance
  8. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Even an export rebound won't do much to lift China growth

    Posted Feb 13th 2014, 01:07am by Tom Holland

    ... Tom Holland As the mainland has become an economic powerhouse in recent years, foreign demand now plays a much smaller role in driving expansion Even an export rebound won't do much ... large relative to the rest of the world that foreign demand now has a far smaller impact on overall output, and far less power to drive growth. From 36 per cent of gross domestic product ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1426699/even-export-rebound-wont-do-much-lift-china-growth
  9. Business - Banking & Finance - MONITOR

    The encouraging signs behind China's record funding figures

    Posted Feb 17th 2014, 04:47am by Tom Holland

    ... on Saturday. The bald numbers tell us that mainland banks last month made local and foreign-currency loans worth 1.48 trillion yuan (HK$1.9 trillion). That's the highest monthly lending figure ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/banking-finance/article/1429144/encouraging-signs-behind-chinas-record-funding-figures
  10. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Conspiracy theories abound about China's gold purchases

    Posted Feb 11th 2014, 01:51am by Tom Holland

    ... is less than 3 per cent of China's overall foreign exchange reserves. That's roughly the same proportion of its foreign reserves that the central bank held in gold 10 years ago. So, far ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1425591/conspiracy-theories-abound-about-chinas-gold-purchases

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