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  • September 16, 2014
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  1. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    New arguments for gold sound like the old story warmed up

    Posted Mar 20th 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... Tom Holland All that safe-haven buying may push the price of the precious metal higher and even to a record, but the bubble will eventually burst New arguments for gold sound like the old story warmed up One tangential result of the sharp rise in risk aversion following the Cypriot debt crisis is that the price of gold has popped higher. Yesterday, bullion was trading in Asia ...

  2. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Conspiracy theories abound about China's gold purchases

    Posted Feb 11th 2014, 01:51am by Tom Holland

    ... to make further price gains. But while the enthusiasm of Western investors for gold has dulled, over the last two and a half years China's demand for the stuff has exploded. Last year China ... more than a few conspiracy theories. One of the more fanciful alleges that the US Federal Reserve is deliberately suppressing the price of gold, lest the metal displace the US dollar ...

  3. Business - Commodities - MONITOR

    Gold unlikely to regain its shine any time soon

    Posted Jul 01st 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... Tom Holland With the end of the metal's bullish momentum trade, hopes low prices will be too tempting for Chinese and Indian buyers look misplaced Gold unlikely to regain its shine ... sideways. Then in October last year, the bulls began to surrender. As the first chart shows, in the nine months since, the price of gold has collapsed by a third, falling to a near three-year low ...

  4. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    It is time for Hong Kong to get real about water pricing

    Posted Jul 31st 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... real about water pricing Back in the 1960s, Hong Kong used to suffer from debilitating water shortages. The worst was the drought of 1963 to 1964. With almost no rainfall and the limited ... the world's largest desalination plant at Lok On Pai, near what's now the Gold Coast. The 1970s energy crisis put paid to that project, so to secure adequate water supplies for the future, ...

  5. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    By avoiding a small crisis now China risks a big one in future

    Posted Jan 29th 2014, 05:02am by Tom Holland

    ... to the Credit Equals Gold trust, they have fatally undermined their own planned reforms aimed at allowing the market to price risk. And without a market price on risk, China will find it impossible ... Tom Holland With the trust product bailout, Beijing gives the green light to expansion of the shadow financial system instead of acting to let market price risk By avoiding a small crisis ...

  6. Business - China Business - MONITOR

    It's tough, but China must let trust company products fail

    Posted Jan 27th 2014, 04:23am by Tom Holland

    ... let trust company products fail The 700 investors in China's "Credit Equals Gold No1 Trust" are hoping that Industrial and Commercial Bank of China will bail them out. ... scheme should be allowed to fail. Come the end of the month, the Credit Equals Gold1 product was supposed to mature, returning investors their capital plus a 10 per cent yield. That's ...

  7. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Simple-minded to expect Hong Kong home prices to fall? Not at all

    Posted Jan 07th 2014, 01:43am by Tom Holland

    ... prices to fall? Not at all I suppose I should be offended. Three weeks ago, Monitor warned that Hong Kong property prices are likely to fall following the US Federal Reserve's decision to wind down its programme of quantitative easing. "Since the Fed began its first round of quantitative easing in 2008, local home prices have shot up 100 per cent," the column noted. ...

  8. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Crystal ball was cloudy last year, but it had its moments

    Posted Jan 03rd 2014, 01:48am by Tom Holland

    ... away, there is no chance anyone will miss. Instead, competition hinges on how often archers slip up and place their arrows not in the gold bull's eye, but in the inner red ring ... Washington's fiscal contraction, while a rapid credit expansion in China should help support its stock prices and international commodity markets. The forecast of 10 per cent gains for Hong Kong stocks ...

  9. Comment - Insight & Opinion - MONITOR

    The unintended consequences of Hong Kong's property policies

    Posted Nov 29th 2013, 04:27am by Tom Holland

    ... prices do begin to slide, don't expect mainland buyers to step in and support the market. As recent falls in the prices of gold and fine wines demonstrate, mainland investors ... Finally, in mid-2000, with home prices down 50 per cent, the government executed a U-turn, announcing that it had abandoned its policy. Instead of building, it would suspend land sales ...

  10. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    So much for talk about a shift in financial power to the East

    Posted Aug 26th 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... sold an enormous 681 tonnes of the stuff; more than a quarter of their entire holdings (see the first chart). The most obvious impact has been on the gold price, which has slumped almost 20 per ... the balance of financial power really is switching from the West to Asia is the gold market. Since last December US and European investors have been bailing out of their long-standing safe haven: ...




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