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  • October 22, 2014
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  1. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    We don't need a Future Fund. The future is already upon us

    Posted Mar 05th 2014, 01:34am by Tom Holland

    ... Tom Holland HK government should make better use of its existing resources and assets to meet the spending needs arising from an ageing population We don't need a Future Fund. The future is already upon us The government's warnings that Hong Kong is heading for a fiscal crisis of Greek proportions are ludicrous. As Monitor pointed out yesterday, new projections ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1440476/we-dont-need-future-fund-future-already-upon-us
  2. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    The US$50b a year reason China's elite love tax havens

    Posted Jan 23rd 2014, 01:13am by Tom Holland

    ... Tom Holland Taking the money out is just the first step; it's all about sending it back under the guise of foreign investment and enjoying the taxman’s largesse The US$50b a year ... was the biggest conduit for inward investment into China, channelling some US$66 billion of capital into the mainland, according to official figures. But that money was only passing through, and most ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1411288/us50b-year-reason-chinas-elite-love-tax-havens
  3. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    After nine years, it's time to leave the stage

    Posted Mar 06th 2014, 12:25am by Tom Holland

    ... is well over 600 million. Then there were just 11 million private cars on China's roads. Today there are nearly 100 million. In 2005 the yuan was still pegged to the US dollar. Now it has strengthened by more than a third and is even touted as a likely replacement for the US currency in world markets. Clearly there have been enormous changes. Yet a look back at some of those early ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1441327/after-nine-years-its-time-leave-stage
  4. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Tsang's vision of Hong Kong's future is severely out of focus

    Posted Feb 27th 2014, 01:23am by Tom Holland

    ... Tom Holland Instead of building mega-projects that serve no purpose, the government should spend money where it is needed: education, health and welfare Tsang's vision of Hong Kong's future is severely out of focus In his budget speech yesterday, John Tsang Chun-wah did his best to scare us. If Hong Kong continues on its current trajectory, steadily improving ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1435878/tsangs-vision-hong-kongs-future-severely-out-focus
  5. Business - Economy - MONITOR

    The yuan is falling, but only because Beijing wants it to

    Posted Mar 03rd 2014, 02:59am by Tom Holland

    ... fallen 1.3 per cent against the US dollar. That might not sound like much, but for the yuan it is the most abrupt decline since its 1993 devaluation, and it confounded legions of analysts ... intervene in sufficient volume to prevent the yuan from appreciating under the pressure of the inflows. But if it does, it will continue to accumulate foreign-currency assets like US Treasury bonds, ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/economy/article/1438811/yuan-falling-only-because-beijing-wants-it
  6. Business - Economy - MONITOR

    Immigration and reclamation won't raise living standards

    Posted Feb 18th 2014, 04:34am by Tom Holland

    ... grown faster than Hong Kong's when measured in US dollar terms, as the first chart shows. But Singapore's apparent outperformance was entirely due to the Singapore dollar's 40 per ... of US$24,000 a year each, while Singaporeans can manage only US$21,000. Actually, I'd argue that Jake exaggerated Singapore's household spending. Believe it or not, stuff is more expensive ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/economy/article/1429854/immigration-and-reclamation-wont-raise-living-standards
  7. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Who's more damaging, Hong Kong officials or Occupy Central?

    Posted Feb 25th 2014, 12:32am by Tom Holland

    ... Kong's reputation as an international financial centre, scare off investors and make Beijing reluctant to give us more any more handouts from its regulatory goodie jar. Let's take those one ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1434352/whos-more-damaging-hong-kong-officials-or-occupy-central
  8. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    It's not heresy to expect grand projects to pay for themselves

    Posted Feb 28th 2014, 01:01am by Tom Holland

    ... Tom Holland The capital market provides a ready solution, and the extra scrutiny that comes with bond issues might just spare us some white elephants It's not heresy to expect grand projects to pay for themselves Thank you to the readers who wrote in to comment on yesterday's Monitor, which suggested that Hong Kong's fiscal problems, outlined in Wednesday's ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1436598/its-not-heresy-expect-grand-projects-pay-themselves
  9. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    George Osborne is wrong about China and the yuan

    Posted Feb 21st 2014, 12:24am by Tom Holland

    ... financial business. You can see why they are all so eager to come here. They get to appear in the media against a backdrop of skyscrapers and economic dynamism rather lacking back at home. Rising US ... will decline. With the US Federal Reserve now talking about raising short-term US dollar rates- as the release on Wednesday of Fed minutes showed- the differential between yuan and international ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1432166/george-osborne-wrong-about-china-and-yuan
  10. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    A nice idea Mr Yam, but it will be a long time before it can fly

    Posted Feb 19th 2014, 01:27am by Tom Holland

    ... is still eager to dispense his advice to anyone who will listen. In 2012 he called on Hong Kong to scrap its currency peg to the US dollar- the very same peg that Yam spent much of his career defending. Replacing the link to the US dollar with a Singapore-style managed float, he argued, would lead to greater price stability and boost Hong Kong's role as an international financial ...

    http://www.scmp.com/business/article/1430637/nice-idea-mr-yam-it-will-be-long-time-it-can-fly

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