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  • September 19, 2014
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  1. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    When the slump finally comes, home prices could fall by half

    Posted Jan 21st 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... could fall by half I know this column has banged on ad nauseam about Hong Kong property prices recently. But there's a couple of big topics we haven't tackled: how much Hong Kong homes ... But even so, when the slump finally comes, Hong Kong properties could end up losing almost half their value. tom.holland@scmp.com ...

  2. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    After nine years, it's time to leave the stage

    Posted Mar 06th 2014, 12:25am by Tom Holland

    ... Chee-hwa was still the chief executive of Hong Kong's government, and the city was struggling to emerge from a six-year-long deflationary slump. Property prices were down by half from ... per cent in real terms. The property market has soared 130 per cent. The Hang Seng Index is up 63 per cent, and unemployment has fallen by half. However, the changes in Hong Kong pale beside ...

  3. Business - Banking & Finance - MONITOR

    The encouraging signs behind China's record funding figures

    Posted Feb 17th 2014, 04:47am by Tom Holland

    ... On the other hand, if you are a glass-half-full type, you will be encouraged by Saturday's figures. The shadow market, you will note, made up a smaller proportion of total financing than in recent months, while the value of potentially troublesome new trust loans extended last month fell by half compared with January 2013. In contrast, longer-term equity financing picked up handsomely. ...

  4. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Even Hong Kong's best efforts may not help to clear our air

    Posted Feb 12th 2014, 12:46am by Tom Holland

    ... the country generated just 3.9 megawatt-hours of electricity per head of population. That's a third less than per-capita power consumption in Hong Kong (see the second chart), half the level ...

  5. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Conspiracy theories abound about China's gold purchases

    Posted Feb 11th 2014, 01:51am by Tom Holland

    ... to make further price gains. But while the enthusiasm of Western investors for gold has dulled, over the last two and a half years China's demand for the stuff has exploded. Last year China ... 428 tonnes of the metal, up from 392 tonnes in 2012. South Africa, long the world's biggest miner, produced less than half that amount. This gold buying- and mining- binge has fuelled ...

  6. Business - Economy - MONITOR

    Continued yuan appreciation is no longer such a sure thing

    Posted Feb 10th 2014, 04:31am by Tom Holland

    ... As a result, we can reckon that a devaluation roughly half as great back at the end of 1993 would have put the yuan somewhere close to its fair value against a broad basket of other currencies. ...

  7. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Even an export rebound won't do much to lift China growth

    Posted Feb 13th 2014, 01:07am by Tom Holland

    ... figures, has declined by more than half from 7.5 per cent of GDP to just 2.8 per cent in 2013. In short, exports are no longer the economic force they once were, which is why ...

  8. Business - Economy - MONITOR

    To continue growing, China will have to work a lot smarter

    Posted Feb 07th 2014, 05:17am by Tom Holland

    ... physical capital to economic growth will need to fall by between a third and half. The IMF's researchers believe that some of this decline can be offset as reform and deregulation boost ...

  9. Business - Banking & Finance - MONITOR

    Four reasons the yuan will struggle to gain acceptance

    Posted Feb 06th 2014, 04:24am by Tom Holland

    ... share of official reserves by half. Each of these episodes has lessons for China today. To get its currency generally accepted around the world, a country needs more than a widespread ...

  10. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Spending on old folks isn't the problem- it's the solution

    Posted Jan 14th 2014, 01:37am by Tom Holland

    ... it to grant a means-tested state pension to those elderly who need it. Considering that half of Hong Kong households own property, let's assume half the city's elderly wouldn't ... the government only covers half of Hong Kong's medical bills, spending just 2.5 to 3 per cent of the city's gross domestic product on health. If the government were to cut its spending ...




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