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  • October 1, 2014
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  1. Business - Comment - MONITOR TOM HOLLAND

    How to make money in 2013: just go with the liquidity flow

    Posted Jan 09th 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... to make money in 2013 is what everyone wants to know. Happily there are a few pointers out there. The first place to look is the Hong Kong stock market. After the benchmark Hang Seng Index turned ... into the city's markets. As a result, analysts expect gains of at least another 10 per cent from the benchmark index this year. Liquidity is likely to prove the key driver of mainland stock market ...

  2. Business - Comment - MONITOR TOM HOLLAND

    Plunge in gold price puts a bad idea out of its misery

    Posted May 20th 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... Kong's stock market, there are some years when this strategy would have worked a treat. Take 2008 as an example. Any investor fortunate enough to sell his portfolio of Hang Seng Index stocks ... back into the market at the Hang Seng's record high just in time to capture the subsequent bear market for a 48 percentage point under-performance. All in all, if we look back over ...

  3. Business - Comment - MONITOR TOM HOLLAND

    Wrong about the stock market, right about government idiocy

    Posted Dec 18th 2012, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... they were being far too sanguine about the market's prospects. Well, with just two weeks of the year left, the Hang Seng HK35 index of local stocks is up 24 per cent over the year so far, while the H-share index of mainland companies has gained 14 per cent (see first chart). I had failed to foresee two things: the US Federal Reserve's new round of quantitative easing, which has pumped ...

  4. Business - Comment - MONITOR TOM HOLLAND

    Over the US fiscal cliff and out of the financial woods

    Posted Dec 04th 2012, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... recently. As the first chart shows, in Hong Kong dollar terms the benchmark S&P 500 index of US stocks generated a total return of 45 per cent over the three years to September. In contrast, the total return from Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index was 9.8 per cent, while the euro-zone's Euro Stoxx 50 Index lost 16.5 per cent. As a result, according to figures compiled by investment ...

  5. Business - Comment - MONITOR TOM HOLLAND

    Mainland buyers don't share enthusiasm for China shares

    Posted Nov 28th 2012, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... for China shares Yesterday the mainland's most closely followed stock market index, the Shanghai composite, slipped 1.3 per cent, falling below the 2,000 mark to close at its lowest since the depths of the financial crisis in February 2009. The index is now down 16 per cent over the last 12 months. To put that drop into perspective, it's a worse performance than either ...

  6. Business - Comment - MONITOR TOM HOLLAND

    The sheer wilful stupidity of official inaction on pollution

    Posted Nov 16th 2012, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... Tom Holland It would be far cheaper for the government to tackle air pollution now, rather than in a few decades when the health costs will be incalculable The sheer wilful stupidity of official inaction on pollution This week's Audit Commission repo ...

  7. Business - Comment - MONITOR TOM HOLLAND

    Cyclically bullish on China's market but a structural bear

    Posted Jan 11th 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... over the coming months. But before you rush out and buy every A-share index fund you can get your hands on, Kapur has a word of warning. Although his liquidity measure indicates ...

  8. Business - Comment - MONITOR TOM HOLLAND

    Stories of HK$1m parking slots mean it's finally time to worry

    Posted Nov 21st 2012, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... the crash he believed was coming. Over the next 18 months the broad US market rose 37 per cent, with the technology-heavy Nasdaq index climbing 50 per cent. Dye was undeterred, pointing out ... stock bubble burst just days later. Over the next 18 months all Dye's warnings were vindicated as the US market collapsed, with the Nasdaq index losing three-quarters of its value. It has ...

  9. Business - Money - MONITOR TOM HOLLAND

    Dual-currency IPO breaks cardinal rule of capital markets

    Posted Aug 15th 2012, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... demand for yuan-denominated shares in the Hong Kong market. Shares in the Hui Xian Real Estate Investment Trust (Hong Kong's sole yuan-denominated stock apart from an index-tracking fund ...



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