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  • September 18, 2014
  • Last updated: 3:16am
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  1. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Beijing is only treating the symptoms, not their cause

    Posted Apr 01st 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... of sales among homeowners anxious to book their profits before the new tax came into effect. But in the longer term, a 20 per cent capital gains tax will do nothing to deter speculative buyers. ...

  2. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Excluding non-locals from flat sales could easily backfire

    Posted Sep 12th 2012, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... Tom Holland Move threatens to bring a triple-whammy to muddy eventual downturn, turning what would have been a healthy correction into a rout Excluding non-locals from flat sales could ... research Nicole Wong and her colleagues note that between 2004 and 2009, land sales in the city declined by 70 per cent. Allowing a two-year time lag for development, they go on to point out ...

  3. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Simple-minded to expect Hong Kong home prices to fall? Not at all

    Posted Jan 07th 2014, 01:43am by Tom Holland

    ... lending compiled by the Hong Kong Monetary Authority, strip out the mortgages taken out to refinance existing home loans, and compare the resulting numbers with the figures on home sales from the Rating and Valuation Department, we find that over the past five years roughly a quarter of all home sales have been to cash buyers. Some of those buyers will have been unleveraged ...

  4. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Early signs suggest new stamp duties haven't reined in prices

    Posted Jan 10th 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... Tom Holland While sales have slumped in the wake of the levy, strong interest from wealthy locals in buying second flats has helped support home prices Early signs suggest new stamp duties ... of seasonal factors. December is seldom a great month for home sales. But transaction volumes last month were also down by 24 per cent compared with December 2011, which suggests the punitive tax ...

  5. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Hopes for affordable homes in Hong Kong sure to be dashed

    Posted Apr 23rd 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... Tom Holland A recent pause in the relentless upward march of property prices will be short-lived without major reforms to land policy and the US dollar peg Hopes for affordable homes in HK ... it charges typical home-buyers to around 5.5 per cent. At the same time the Hong Kong Monetary Authority ordered the city's banks to increase the amount of capital they hold against new ...

  6. Business - Companies - MONITOR

    ParknShop sale looks a solid deal for Hutch shareholders

    Posted Jul 23rd 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... Ka-shing over the years, only for him scorn us like this. Reports that Li-controlled conglomerate Hutchison Whampoa is pondering the sale of its ParknShop supermarket chain triggered howls of media ... like Walmart and Carrefour, as well as home-grown players like Wumart and China Resources, well entrenched in the mainland market, adding to the chain's few dozen mainland shops looks both ...

  7. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    'Strange and worrying' that Hong Kong government doesn't get it

    Posted Oct 16th 2012, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... the city's residential property market? Evidently it is. So, for all those government officials confounded by the market's buoyancy, here's a brief primer on why Hong Kong home prices ... Kong's median home price is now almost 13 times the city's median household income, provided you've got enough cash for the deposit buying an apartment is actually quite cheap. ...

  8. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Tom Holland looks at why a plan to give HK people homes won't work

    Posted Sep 10th 2012, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... Tom Holland A closer inspection of CY Leung's plans to make property more affordable for local people reveals that it is simply a cosmetic gesture Simple sums show HK homes for HK people plan won't work The Hong Kong homes for Hong Kong people initiative announced last week by Chief Executive CY Leung will make zero material difference either to the affordability ...

  9. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Forecast of 30 per cent slump in home prices is about right

    Posted Oct 29th 2013, 02:31am by Tom Holland

    ... Tom Holland Barclays may have jumped the gun earlier, but its researchers point to burden of mortgage servicing when rates rise amid abundant supply Forecast of 30 per cent slump in home prices is about right Two years ago, at the beginning of November 2011, Barclays Bank published a research report forecasting that Hong Kong home prices would fall 30 per cent over the following ...

  10. Business - Comment - MONITOR

    Quicker way to solve housing problem than a building binge

    Posted Jan 18th 2013, 12:00am by Tom Holland

    ... a building binge Yesterday Monitor argued that Chief Executive Leung Chun-ying's plan to double the number of homes built in Hong Kong over the next five years is likely to backfire. Given ... or even factory buildings. Cramped living space in cage homes, cubicle apartments and subdivided flats has become the reluctant choice for tens of thousands." So the core problem would appear ...




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